Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

2024 United States presidential election polling

← 2020 As of November 4, 2024 (2024-11-04) 2028 →
Leading presidential candidate by state or district, based on opinion polls. This map only represents polling data. It is not a prediction for the election.
Kamala Harris ▼ Donald Trump 191 3 32 93 77 27 115 Legend Lead    >12%       8–12%       4–8%       <4%    Leads are based on the average of aggregate polls if available, otherwise on the most recent individual poll if available, otherwise on the result of the previous election.
President before election Joe Biden Democratic Elected President Donald Trump Republican

2024 U.S. presidential election
Timeline Debates Parties Polling national statewide News media endorsements primary general Fundraising Ballot access Interference Chinese Russian Iranian Presidential electors Electoral College vote count Presidential transition Political violence
Republican Party
Primaries Candidates Debates and forums Polling national statewide Results Endorsements Nominee VP candidate selection Convention
Democratic Party
Primaries Candidates Debates and forums Polling Results Endorsements Nominee VP candidate selection Convention
Third parties
Third-party and independent candidates polling Libertarian Party primaries convention nominee Green Party primaries convention nominee Party for Socialism and Liberation nominee Constitution Party convention nominee American Solidarity Party nominee Independents Kennedy West
Related races
Senate House Governors
← 2020 2024 2028 →
v t e

This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.^[1]

Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on last vote. This can introduce new errors if voters misstate their previous votes. When used for the 2024 presidential election it had produced results closer to the 2020 presidential election than the 2022 mid-term election.^[2]

Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

• "tossup": no advantage
• "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
• "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
• "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
• "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.

State	EVs	Last poll closing time (UTC−05:00)[3][4]	PVI[5]	2020 result	2020 margin[6]	IE November 3, 2024[7]	Cook November 4, 2024[8]	CNalysis November 4, 2024[9]	Sabato November 4, 2024[10]	CNN November 4, 2024[11]	DDHQ November 5, 2024[12]	538 November 5, 2024[13]	Economist November 5, 2024[14]
Alaska	3	Nov 6 01:00 am	R+8	52.8% R	10.06%	Solid R	Solid R	Very Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R
Arizona	11	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+2	49.4% D	0.31%	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt R (flip)	Lean R (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Lean R (flip)	Lean R (flip)
Colorado	10	Nov 5 09:00 pm	D+4	55.4% D	13.50%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Safe D
Florida	30	Nov 5 08:00 pm	R+3	51.2% R	3.36%	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Georgia	16	Nov 5 07:00 pm	R+3	49.5% D	0.24%	Tossup	Tossup	Likely D	Lean R (flip)	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Iowa	6	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+6	53.1% R	8.20%	Tilt R	Likely R	Tilt R	Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Kansas	6	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+10	56.1% R	14.63%	Solid R	Solid R	Very Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R
Maine[a]	2	Nov 5 08:00 pm	D+2	53.1% D	9.07%	Likely D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Solid D	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D
ME–02[a]	1	Nov 5 08:00 pm	R+6[b]	52.3% R[b]	7.44%[b]	Lean R	Likely R	Very Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Michigan	15	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+1	50.6% D	2.78%	Tossup	Tossup	Likely D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Likely D
Minnesota	10	Nov 5 09:00 pm	D+1	52.4% D	7.11%	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D
NE–01[a]	1	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+9[b]	56.0% R[b]	14.92%[b]	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Likely R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R
NE–02[a]	1	Nov 5 09:00 pm	EVEN[b]	52.0% D[b]	6.50%[b]	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Nevada	6	Nov 5 10:00 pm	R+1	50.1% D	2.39%	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
New Hampshire	4	Nov 5 08:00 pm	D+1	52.7% D	7.35%	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
New Mexico	5	Nov 5 09:00 pm	D+3	54.3% D	10.79%	Solid D	Likely D	Very Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
North Carolina	16	Nov 5 07:30 pm	R+3	49.9% R	1.35%	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D (flip)	Lean R	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Ohio	17	Nov 5 07:30 pm	R+6	53.3% R	8.03%	Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R
Oregon	8	Nov 5 11:00 pm	D+6	56.4% D	16.08%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Lean D	Safe D	Solid D	Safe D
Pennsylvania	19	Nov 5 08:00 pm	R+2	50.0% D	1.16%	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Texas	40	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+5	52.1% R	5.58%	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Virginia	13	Nov 5 07:00 pm	D+3	54.1% D	10.11%	Likely D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Wisconsin	10	Nov 5 09:00 pm	R+2	49.5% D	0.63%	Tossup	Tossup	Lean D	Lean D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Overall						D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 308 R – 230 0 tossup	D – 276 R – 262 0 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 241 R – 230 67 tossups	D – 241 R – 230 67 tossups

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research[15]	October 20–22, 2024	1,703 (LV)	± 2.4%	55%	45%	–
Alaska Survey Research[16]	October 8–9, 2024	1,254 (LV)	± 2.9%	54%	46%	–
Cygnal (R)[17][A]	August 30 – September 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	43%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research[15]	October 20–22, 2024	1,703 (LV)	± 2.4%	51%	43%	7%	–
Alaska Survey Research[16]	October 8–9, 2024	1,254 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	43%	7%	–
Alaska Survey Research[18]	September 27–29, 2024	1,182 (LV)	± 2.9%	52%	43%	6%	–
Alaska Survey Research[19]	September 11–12, 2024	1,254 (LV)	–	47%	42%	5%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [d]	Margin
270ToWin	October 22 – November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	46.8%	48.4%	4.8%	Trump +1.6%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	46.8%	48.9%	4.3%	Trump +2.1%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	46.9%	49.3%	3.8%	Trump +2.4%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.3%	49.9%	2.8%	Trump +2.6%
Average			47.0%	49.1%	3.9%	Trump +2.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,636 (RV)	± 2.4%	46%	47%	7%
				49%[e]	51%	–
		1,468 (LV)		47%	49%	4%
				49%[e]	51%	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	52%	1%
Victory Insights[22]	November 2–3, 2024	750 (LV)	–	48%	49%	3%[f]
Trafalgar Group (R)[23]	November 1–3, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	49%	4%[g]
Patriot Polling[24]	November 1–3, 2024	801 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	51%	1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[25]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	49%	5%[f]
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	967 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	52%	2%
Emerson College[27]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	50%	2%[h]
				48%[e]	51%	1%[h]
New York Times/Siena College[28]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,025 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	48%	8%
		1,025 (LV)		45%	49%	6%
ActiVote[29]	October 8 – November 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
SoCal Strategies (R)[30][B]	October 30–31, 2024	750 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	50%	1%
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[32]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	47%	50%	3%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	880 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	50%	1%
		856 (LV)		49%	50%	1%
Morning Consult[34]	October 21−30, 2024	666 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[35][D]	October 25–29, 2024	803 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%[f]
AtlasIntel[36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,458 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
Mitchell Research & Communications[37]	October 28, 2024	610 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	50%	2%
RABA Research[38]	October 25–27, 2024	589 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	43%	12%[i]
Trafalgar Group (R)[39]	October 24–26, 2024	1,094 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	48%	6%[f]
CES/YouGov[40]	October 1–25, 2024	2,077 (A)	–	49%	49%	2%
		2,066 (LV)		47%	51%	2%
Marist College[41]	October 17–22, 2024	1,329 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	49%	2%[j]
		1,193 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	50%	1%[j]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[42]	October 20–21, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%[g]
HighGround[43]	October 19–20, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	47%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	915 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
		861 (LV)		49%	49%	2%
University of Arizona/Truedot[45]	October 12–20, 2024	846 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	45%	9%[k]
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,440 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
CBS News/YouGov[47]	October 11−16, 2024	1,435 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	51%	1%
Morning Consult[34]	October 6−15, 2024	653 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post/Schar School[48]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	580 (RV)	± 5.0%	44%	50%	6%
		580 (LV)		46%	49%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[49]	October 10–13, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	48%	6%[l]
New York Times/Siena College[50]	October 7–10, 2024	808 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	51%	4%
		808 (LV)		46%	51%	3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[51][E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	49%	5%
Emerson College[52]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%[h]
				48%[e]	51%	1%[h]
Wall Street Journal[53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	48%	46%	6%
ActiVote[54]	September 6 – October 8, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
SoCal Strategies (R)[55][B]	October 5–7, 2024	735 (LV)	–	49%	48%	3%
RMG Research[56][F]	September 30 – October 2, 2024	783 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	50%	4%[m]
				46%	50%	4%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[57][G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[58][H]	September 24 – October 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	50%	2%[g]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[59]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	1%[g]
HighGround[60][I]	September 26–29, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%
National Research[61][J]	September 25–29, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[62][K]	September 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	47%	5%
Emerson College[63][L]	September 27–28, 2024	920 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	50%	3%[h]
				48%[e]	52%	–
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	946 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[65]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	50%	48%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	977 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%
		926 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Fox News[67]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
		764 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	51%	1%
Marist College[68]	September 19−24, 2024	1,416 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	50%	2%[j]
		1,264 (LV)	± 3.8%	49%	50%	1%[j]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[69][D]	September 19–22, 2024	1,030 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[70]	September 17–21, 2024	713 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	49%	6%
		713 (LV)		45%	50%	5%
Emerson College[71]	September 15–18, 2024	868 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	49%	3%[n]
				49%[e]	50%	1%[n]
Morning Consult[34]	September 9−18, 2024	862 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[72]	September 11–12, 2024	1,088 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	47%	7%[l]
Data Orbital[73][M]	September 7–9, 2024	550 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	46%	8%
Morning Consult[34]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	901 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
TIPP Insights[74][N]	September 3–5, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	46%	8%
		949 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
Patriot Polling[75]	September 1–3, 2024	804 (RV)	–	47%	49%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[76]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
University of Arizona/Truedot[77]	August 28–31, 2024	1,155 (RV)	–	42%	46%	12%[o]
Emerson College[78]	August 25–28, 2024	720 (LV)	± 3.6%	47%	50%	7%
				48%[e]	51%	1%[h]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[79]	August 23–26, 2024	776 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Fox News[80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1%
Spry Strategies (R)[81][O]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[82][P]	August 13–17, 2024	1,187 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	47%	8%
Noble Predictive Insights[83]	August 12–16, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
Focaldata[84]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	51%	–
Strategies 360[85]	August 7–14, 2024	400 (RV)	± 4.9%	47%	46%	7%
New York Times/Siena College[86]	August 8–15, 2024	677 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	45%	7%
		677 (LV)		50%	45%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[87]	August 6–8, 2024	1,092 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	5%
Navigator Research (D)[88]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	49%	5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[89]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	435 (LV)	–	48%	46%	6%
HighGround[90]	July 30 – August 5, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	42%	14%[p]
Public Policy Polling (D)[91][Q]	July 29–30, 2024	618 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	49%	4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[92][R]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	43%	48%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[93]	July 24–28, 2024	804 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Emerson College[94]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	49%	7%
				47%[e]	53%	–
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[95]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	48%	10%
Public Policy Polling (D)[96][Q]	July 10–11, 2024	596 (RV)	–	44%	52%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[97]	May 7–13, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	51%	7%
Emerson College[98]	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	48%	12%
New York Times/Siena College[99]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	9%
		603 (LV)		43%	48%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 10, 2024	October 15, 2024	46.4%	48.8%	1.0%	—	0.8%	3.0%	Trump +2.4%
270toWin	October 2 – 12, 2024	October 12, 2024	47.4%	47.6%	1.0%	0.0%	0.5%	3.5%	Trump +0.2%
Average			46.9%	48.1%	1.0%	0.0%	0.8%	3.2%	Trump +1.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,636 (RV)	± 2.4%	44%	47%	1%	1%	–	7%
				46%[e]	50%	2%	2%	–	–
		1,468 (LV)		46%	49%	1%	1%	–	3%
				47%[e]	50%	2%	1%	–	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	–	1%	0%	2%
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	967 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	52%	–	1%	1%	1%
New York Times/Siena College[28]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	1,025 (RV)	± 3.5%	42%	47%	–	3%	2%	6%
		1,025 (LV)		44%	48%	–	2%	1%	5%
Focaldata[100]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,779 (LV)	–	48%	49%	–	1%	1%	1%
		1,603 (RV)	± 2.3%	49%	47%	–	2%	1%	1%
		1,779 (A)	–	49%	47%	–	2%	1%	1%
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	–	1%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[101]	October 28–31, 2024	652 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	880 (RV)	± 4.4%	47%	48%	0%	1%	–	4%
		856 (LV)		48%	48%	0%	0%	–	4%
Noble Predictive Insights[102]	October 28–30, 2024	775 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	–	2%	0%	3%
Data for Progress (D)[103]	October 25–30, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	–	1%	0%	4%
AtlasIntel[36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,458 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	–	1%	0%	2%
Mitchell Research & Communications[37]	October 28, 2024	610 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	50%	–	0%	1%	1%
Data Orbital[104]	October 26–28, 2024	550 (LV)	± 4.3%	42%	50%	–	1%	1%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[105]	October 25–27, 2024	901 (LV)	–	47%	49%	–	1%	1%	2%
J.L. Partners[106]	October 24–26, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	49%	–	0%	1%	2%[f]
CNN/SSRS[107]	October 21–26, 2024	781 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	47%	–	1%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[108]	October 20–22, 2024	710 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	1%	1%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	915 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
		861 (LV)		48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[109]	October 16–18, 2024	691 (LV)	–	46%	49%	–	1%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,440 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	–	1%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[110]	October 12–14, 2024	1,141 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	1%	1%	4%
New York Times/Siena College[50]	October 7–10, 2024	808 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	49%	–	2%	1%	4%
		808 (LV)		45%	50%	–	1%	0%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[111]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	555 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[58][S]	September 24 – October 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	49%	–	1%	0%	3%
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	946 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	–	0%	–	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[65]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	50%	47%	–	1%	–	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	977 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
		926 (LV)		49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
Fox News[67]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	1%	1%	2%	−
		764 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	50%	0%	1%	2%	−
Suffolk University/USA Today[112]	September 19−24, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	–	1%	1%	8%
New York Times/Siena College[70]	September 17–21, 2024	713 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	47%	–	2%	3%	6%
		713 (LV)		43%	48%	–	2%	2%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[113]	September 16–19, 2024	789 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[114]	September 6–9, 2024	765 (LV)	–	46%	47%	–	1%	1%	5%
TIPP Insights[74][N]	September 3–5, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	46%	1%	1%	–	6%
		949 (LV)		48%	48%	1%	1%	–	2%
YouGov[115][C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	900 (RV)	± 4.2%	45%	47%	1%	1%	–	6%[f]
CNN/SSRS[116]	August 23–29, 2024	682 (LV)	± 4.7%	44%	49%	–	2%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[117]	August 25–28, 2024	530 (LV)	–	45%	46%	–	1%	1%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[79]	August 23–26, 2024	776 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News[80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	1%	1%	2%	1%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Hendrix College[118][T]	September 5–6, 2024	696 (RV)	± 4.6%	55%	40%	1%	–	0%	1%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Research Co.[119]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	64%	32%	4%
Competitive Edge Research[120]	October 28–30, 2024	517 (RV)	± 4.3%	53%	38%	8%[r]
UC Berkeley IGS[121]	October 22–28, 2024	4,341 (LV)	± 2.0%	57%	35%	8%
ActiVote[122]	October 7–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63%	37%	–
Rose Institute/YouGov[123]	October 7–17, 2024	1,139 (RV)	± 3.4%	60%	33%	7%[s]
				63%[e]	34%	3%
		1,139 (LV)		63%	34%	3%
Emerson College[124][U]	October 12–14, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	35%	6%[n]
				61%[e]	37%	2%[n]
ActiVote[125]	September 22 – October 10, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63.5%	36.5%	–
ActiVote[126]	August 22 – September 21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	64%	36%	–
Emerson College[127]	September 3–5, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	60%	36%	4%
				61%[e]	38%	1%[t]
ActiVote[128]	August 2–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	65%	35%	–
UC Berkeley IGS[129]	July 31 – August 11, 2024	3,765 (LV)	± 2.0%	59%	34%	7%
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[130][V]	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	38%	15%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Keating Research[131]	October 28−30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	41%	7%[u]
YouGov[132]	October 18−30, 2024	754 (LV)	± 4.54%	55%	41%	4%
ActiVote[133]	October 1−30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
ActiVote[134]	September 15 − October 19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
Morning Consult[135]	September 9−18, 2024	512 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	5%
Keating Research[136]	September 11–14, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	53%	42%	5%
Morning Consult[135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	498 (LV)	± 4.0%	55%	40%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[137][W]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	52%	37%	3%	8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Slingshot Strategies (D)[138][X]	September 19–21, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	54%	37%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of Delaware[139]	September 11–19, 2024	383 (LV)	± 5.8%	56%	36%	3%	–	–	1%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [v]	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	44.6%	51.1%	4.3%	Trump +6.5%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	44.6%	51.2%	4.2%	Trump +6.6%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.8%	51.3%	3.9%	Trump +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.9%	51.6%	3.2%	Trump +6.7%
Average			44.7%	51.3%	4.0%	Trump +6.6%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Research Co.[140]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	44%	5%
Victory Insights[141]	November 1–2, 2024	400 (LV)	–	51%	47%	2%[f]
Stetson University[142][143]	October 25 – November 1, 2024	452 (LV)	± 5.0%	53%	46%	1%[w]
Morning Consult[135]	October 23 − November 1, 2024	2,022 (LV)	± 2.0%	51%	46%	3%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[144]	October 19–27, 2024	913 (RV)	± 3.2%	53%	44%	3%[x]
		897 (LV)		53%	44%	3%[x]
ActiVote[145]	October 11–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–
St. Pete Polls[146][Y]	October 23–25, 2024	1,227 (LV)	± 2.8%	50%	45%	5%[k]
CES/YouGov[147]	October 1–25, 2024	5,952 (A)	–	51%	47%	2%
		5,916 (LV)		52%	46%	2%
Hunt Research[148][Z]	October 16–22, 2024	1,234 (LV)	± 2.8%	50%	45%	5%
Emerson College[149]	October 18–20, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	52%	44%	4%[h]
				54%[e]	46%	–
Cherry Communications (R)[150][AA]	October 10–20, 2024	614 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	45%	4%
ActiVote[151]	October 7–20, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	55%	45%	–
University of North Florida[152]	October 7–18, 2024	977 (LV)	± 3.5%	53%	43%	4%[y]
RMG Research[153][F]	October 14–17, 2024	788 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	45%	3%[z]
				52%[e]	47%	1%
Rose Institute/YouGov[154]	October 7–17, 2024	1,094 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	45%	7%[aa]
		1,094 (RV)		51%[e]	46%	3%
		1,076 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
The Terrance Group (R)[155][AB]	October 5–8, 2024	818 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	44%	5%
Marist College[156]	October 3–7, 2024	1,410 (RV)	± 3.3%	51%	47%	2%[j]
		1,257 (LV)	± 3.6%	51%	47%	2%[j]
New York Times/Siena College[157]	September 29 – October 6, 2024	622 (LV)	± 5.0%	55%	41%	4%
ActiVote[158]	September 17 – October 6, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	47%	–
Mason-Dixon[159][AC]	October 1–4, 2024	625 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	43%	8%[ab]
RMG Research[160][F]	September 25–27, 2024	774 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3%[z]
				50%[e]	48%	2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[161][AD]	September 25–26, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	4%
Victory Insights[162]	September 22–25, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	45%	8%
The Bullfinch Group[163][AE]	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	5%
Morning Consult[135]	September 9−18, 2024	2,948 (LV)	± 2.0%	50%	47%	3%
Morning Consult[135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	3,182 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	47%	4%
Emerson College[164]	September 3–5, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	45%	5%
				51%[e]	48%	1%[h]
ActiVote[165]	August 16–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	47%	–
Cherry Communications (R)[166][AA]	August 15–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	45%	3%
Public Policy Polling (D)[167][AD]	August 21–22, 2024	837 (RV)	± 3.4%	51%	47%	2%
ActiVote[168]	August 5–15, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[169]	August 10–11, 2024	1,055 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%[ac]
		1,040 (LV)		50%	47%	3%[x]
University of North Florida[170]	July 24–27, 2024	774 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	42%	9%[ad]
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[171][AF]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	39%	12%[ae]
Suffolk University/USA Today[172]	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	46%	44%	10%
Victory Insights[173]	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	51%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Focaldata[174]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,250 (LV)	–	52%	45%	–	0%	0%	3%
		1,099 (RV)	± 2.8%	50%	46%	–	1%	0%	3%
		1,250 (A)	–	49%	47%	–	1%	0%	3%
Cygnal (R)[175]	October 26–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	43%	–	1%	1%	7%[af]
Hunt Research[148][Z]	October 16–22, 2024	1,234 (LV)	± 2.8%	50%	44%	–	0%	0%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[176]	October 16–18, 2024	1,275 (LV)	–	49%	45%	–	0%	1%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[177]	October 12–14, 2024	1,009 (LV)	–	50%	44%	–	1%	0%	5%
New York Times/Siena College[157]	September 29 – October 6, 2024	622 (LV)	± 5.0%	53%	40%	–	0%	1%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[178]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	2,946 (LV)	–	49%	45%	–	1%	1%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[161][AD]	September 25–26, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	45%	0%	1%	–	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[179]	September 16–19, 2024	1,602 (LV)	–	50%	45%	–	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[180]	September 6–9, 2024	1,465 (LV)	–	50%	44%	–	0%	0%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [q]	Margin
270ToWin	October 22 – November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.5%	48.7%	3.8%	Trump +1.2%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.5%	48.2%	4.3%	Trump +0.7%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	48.9%	3.2%	Trump +1.0%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	49.6%	2.5%	Trump +1.7%
Average			47.7%	48.9%	3.4%	Trump +1.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,880 (RV)	± 2.3%	45%	48%	7%
				49%[e]	51%	–
		1,659 (LV)		47%	49%	4%
				48%[e]	52%	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,112 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[181]	November 2–3, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3%[g]
Patriot Polling[182]	November 1–3, 2024	818 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,174 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Emerson College[183]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	50%	1%[h]
				49%[e]	50%	1%[h]
New York Times/Siena College[184]	October 24 – November 2, 2024	1,004 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	46%	8%
		1,004 (LV)		48%	47%	5%
ActiVote[185]	October 15 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,212 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	984 (RV)	± 3.9%	48%	50%	2%
		939 (LV)		48%	50%	2%
Morning Consult[186]	October 21–30, 2024	1,009 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
AtlasIntel[36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,429 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	51%	1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[187][D]	October 25–28, 2024	910 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	51%	3%[f]
SoCal Strategies (R)[188][B]	October 26–27, 2024	658 (LV)	± 3.8%	49%	50%	1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[189]	October 24–26, 2024	1,087 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	48%	6%[g]
CES/YouGov[190]	October 1–25, 2024	2,682 (A)	–	48%	49%	3%
		2,663 (LV)		46%	51%	3%
National Public Affairs[191]	October 21–24, 2024	829 (LV)	± 3.4%	47%	49%	4%
Marist College[192]	October 17–22, 2024	1,356 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%[j]
		1,193 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	49%	2%[j]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	914 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
		855 (LV)		48%	50%	2%
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,411 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
ActiVote[193]	October 1–17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
TIPP Insights[194][N]	October 14–16, 2024	1,029 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	46%	5%
		813 (LV)		48%	49%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[195]	October 14–15, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	49%	4%[f]
Morning Consult[186]	October 6–15, 2024	1,002 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Washington Post/Schar School[196]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	730 (RV)	± 4.5%	50%	44%	6%
		730 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
Quinnipiac University[197]	October 10–14, 2024	1,328 (LV)	± 2.7%	46%	52%	2%
RMG Research[198][F]	October 7–10, 2024	731 (LV)	± 3.6%	47%	49%	4%[ag]
				47%	50%	3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[199][E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	45%	50%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[200]	October 7–8, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	46%	9%[ah]
Emerson College[201]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%[h]
				50%[e]	50%	–
Wall Street Journal[53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	48%	46%	6%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[202][G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	47%	9%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[203]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	48%	4%[g]
Quinnipiac University[204]	September 25–29, 2024	942 (LV)	± 3.2%	45%	50%	5%
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[62][K]	September 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	47%	6%
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,200 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[65]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	47%	49%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	989 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
		913 (LV)		49%	49%	2%
Fox News[205]	September 20−24, 2024	1,006 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	1%
		707 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	48%	1%
CBS News/YouGov[206]	September 20–24, 2024	1,441 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	51%	–
Marist College[207]	September 19−24, 2024	1,420 (RV)	± 3.6%	49%	48%	3%[j]
		1,220 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	50%	1%[j]
The Bullfinch Group[208][AE]	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[209][D]	September 19–22, 2024	1,152 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
				47%[e]	51%	2%
New York Times/Siena College[210]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.6%	44%	48%	8%
		682 (LV)		45%	49%	6%
TIPP Insights[211][N]	September 16–18, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	45%	7%
		835 (LV)		48%	48%	9%
Emerson College[212]	September 15–18, 2024	975 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	3%[n]
				48%[e]	50%	2%[n]
Morning Consult[186]	September 9−18, 2024	1,347 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[213]	September 11–13, 2024	1,098 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	46%	9%
ActiVote[214]	August 8 – September 10, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Quinnipiac University[215]	September 4–8, 2024	969 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	49%	5%
Morning Consult[186]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,405 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[216]	September 5–6, 2024	647 (RV)	± 3.9%	44%	47%	9%[ai]
		567 (LV)		45%	47%	8%[aj]
Patriot Polling[217]	September 1–3, 2024	814 (RV)	–	48%	49%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[218]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	48%	4%[aj]
Emerson College[219]	August 25–28, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	48%	3%[h]
				50%[e]	49%	1%[h]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[220]	August 23–26, 2024	737 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
		801 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Fox News[80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
Spry Strategies (R)[81][O]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
Focaldata[221]	August 6–16, 2024	651 (LV)	± 3.8%	48%	52%	–
New York Times/Siena College[222]	August 9–14, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	51%	5%
		661 (LV)		46%	50%	4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[223]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	405 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[224][AG]	July 24–31, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R)[225]	July 29–30, 2024	– (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	49%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[226][Q]	July 29–30, 2024	662 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	47%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[227]	July 24–28, 2024	799 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	47%	5%
SoCal Strategies (R)[228][AH]	July 25–26, 2024	505 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	50%	4%
Emerson College[229]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	48%	6%
				49%[e]	51%	–
Landmark Communications[230]	July 22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	47%	48%	5%
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[231][AI]	July 9–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	46%	51%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[232][AJ]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.1%	37%	47%	16%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[233]	July 12–15, 2024	640 (RV)	± 3.6%	42%	46%	12%
		549 (LV)		43%	49%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[234]	May 7–13, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	49%	10%
Emerson College[235]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	51%	8%
New York Times/Siena College[236]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	629 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%	45%	11%
		629 (LV)		44%	47%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH[237]	through October 22, 2024	October 22, 2024	47.4%	48.7%	0.8%	—	0.9%	2.2%	Trump +1.3%
270ToWin[238]	October 16–22, 2024	October 22, 2024	45.8%	49.2%	0.6%	0.0%	0.6%	3.8%	Trump +3.4%
Average			46.6%	49.0%	0.7%	0.0%	0.8%	2.9%	Trump +2.4%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,880 (RV)	± 2.3%	45%	47%	1%	1%	–	6%
				48%[e]	49%	2%	1%	–	–
		1,659 (LV)		47%	48%	1%	1%	–	3%
				48%[e]	50%	1%	1%	–	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,112 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	1%	2%[g]
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,174 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	–	2%	1%	1%[g]
New York Times/Siena College[184]	October 24 – November 2, 2024	1,004 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	43%	2%	0%	3%	8%
		1,004 (LV)		46%	46%	0%	0%	2%	6%
Focaldata[239]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,850 (LV)	–	48%	49%	–	1%	1%	1%
		1,627 (RV)	± 2.3%	50%	47%	–	1%	1%	1%
		1,850 (A)	–	49%	47%	–	1%	2%	1%
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,212 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	–	2%	1%	1%
East Carolina University[240]	October 28–31, 2024	902 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	–	0%	1%	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[241]	October 28–31, 2024	1,779 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	1%	4%
Data for Progress (D)[242]	October 25–31, 2024	792 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	0%	0%	1%	2%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	984 (RV)	± 3.9%	46%	48%	1%	1%	–	4%
		939 (LV)		47%	48%	0%	0%	–	5%
AtlasIntel[36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,429 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	–	1%	1%	1%
CNN/SSRS[243]	October 23–28, 2024	732 (LV)	± 4.7%	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[244]	October 25–27, 2024	1,112 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	1%	4%
The Citadel[245]	October 17–25, 2024	1,218 (RV)	± 3.8%	47%	48%	1%	1%	0%	3%
		1,126 (LV)		47%	49%	0%	1%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[246]	October 20–22, 2024	1,168 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	1%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	914 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	–	0%	2%	3%
		855 (LV)		48%	49%	–	0%	1%	2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[247][AI]	October 7–16, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	43%	47%	–	0%	0%	10%[ak]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[248]	October 16–18, 2024	1,019 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,411 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	0%	0%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[249]	October 12–14, 2024	637 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	2%	1%	3%
Quinnipiac University[197]	October 10–14, 2024	1,328 (LV)	± 2.7%	45%	52%	–	1%	1%	1%
East Carolina University[250]	October 9–14, 2024	701 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	49%	–	1%	0%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[251]	October 8–9, 2024	608 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[252]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	3,783 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Quinnipiac University[204]	September 25–29, 2024	942 (LV)	± 3.2%	44%	50%	1%	0%	1%	4%[al]
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,200 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	0%	–	0%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[65]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	–	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	989 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	–	0%	3%	2%
		913 (LV)		48%	48%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News[205]	September 20−24, 2024	1,006 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	1%	1%	1%	1%
		707 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	48%	1%	1%	1%	−
New York Times/Siena College[210]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.6%	43%	46%	–	2%	2%	7%
		682 (LV)		44%	47%	–	1%	2%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[253]	September 16–19, 2024	1,043 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	1%	1%	4%
TIPP Insights[211][N]	September 16–18, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	44%	2%	1%	–	7%
		835 (LV)		48%	48%	1%	1%	–	2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[254][AI]	September 9–15, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	44%	47%	1%	0%	0%	7%[am]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[255]	September 6–9, 2024	562 (LV)	–	47%	49%	–	1%	0%	3%
Quinnipiac University[215]	September 4–8, 2024	969 (LV)	± 3.2%	45%	49%	1%	0%	0%	6%[al]
YouGov[256][C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.8%	45%	47%	0%	0%	–	8%[g]
CNN/SSRS[257]	August 23–29, 2024	617 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	47%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[258]	August 25–28, 2024	699 (LV)	–	42%	44%	–	1%	0%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[220]	August 23–26, 2024	737 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	3%	2%
		801 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	46%	–	1%	4%	2%
Fox News[80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	1%	2%	2%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[259]	October 4–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
ActiVote[260]	September 3 – October 5, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
ActiVote[261]	August 6–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[an]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[262]	October 3–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
ActiVote[263]	August 28 – September 30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
ARW Strategies[264][AK]	September 23–25, 2024	600 (LV)	–	55%	39%	6%
Emerson College[265]	September 12–13, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	57%	40%	3%[h]
				58%[e]	41%	1%[h]
Lake Research Partners (D)[266][AL]	August 26 – September 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	42%	6%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [q]	Margin
270ToWin	October 2 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	45.3%	50.0%	4.7%	Trump +4.7%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 4, 2024	45.4%	49.8%	4.8%	Trump +4.4%
Average			45.4%	49.9%	4.7%	Trump +4.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[267]	November 2–3, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	46%	2%[ao]
SoCal Strategies (R)[268][AM]	November 2–3, 2024	501 (RV)	± 4.4%	50%	43%	7%
		435 (LV)		52%	44%	4%
Emerson College[269][AN]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	53%	43%	4%[h]
				54%[e]	45%	1%[h]
Cygnal (R)[270][AO]	September 27–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	45%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Selzer & Co.[271][AP]	October 28–31, 2024	808 (LV)	± 3.4%	44%	47%	3%	0%	6%[ap]
Selzer & Co.[272][AP]	September 8–11, 2024	656 (LV)	± 3.8%	47%	43%	6%	1%	3%[h]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Fort Hays State University[273]	September 26 – October 16, 2024	656 (A)	–	46%	37%	17%[aq]
		608 (A)		50%	39%	11%[ar]
		517 (RV)		48%	43%	9%[as]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[274]	August 15–19, 2024	951 (LV)	± 3.2%	58%	41%	1%
University of New Hampshire[275]	July 23–25, 2024	1,445 (LV)	± 2.6%	54%	45%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[276]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	1,485 (LV)	± 2.4%	52%	41%	1%	1%	1%	4%[x]
SurveyUSA[277][AQ]	October 24–29, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 3.6%	51%	43%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Pan Atlantic Research[278]	September 5–15, 2024	812 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	41%	1%	1%	1%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research[278]	September 5–15, 2024	414 (LV)	–	58%	32%	10%
University of New Hampshire[274]	August 15–19, 2024	476 (LV)	–	64%	36%	–

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[276]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	801 (LV)	± 3.5%	60%	36%	0%	1%	1%	2%[x]
SurveyUSA[277][AQ]	October 24–29, 2024	482 (LV)	–	58%	37%	1%	1%	0%	3%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Axis Research[279][AR]	October 17–20, 2024	411 (LV)	± 4.8%	50%	41%	8%[at]
Pan Atlantic Research[278]	September 5–15, 2024	398 (LV)	–	49%	42%	9%
University of New Hampshire[274]	August 15–19, 2024	432 (LV)	–	47%	52%	1%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[276]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	683 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	44%	1%	1%	1%	5%[x]
SurveyUSA[277][AQ]	October 24–29, 2024	484 (LV)	–	49%	44%	1%	1%	1%	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[an]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Morning Consult	October 22–31, 2024	490 (LV)	± 5.0%	64%	31%	5%
ActiVote	October 6–30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	64%	37%	–
Braun Research[AS]	October 17–22, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.6%	61%	33%	7%[au]
		1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	59%	34%	7%[av]
Emerson College	October 19–21, 2024	865 (LV)	± 3.2%	64%	34%	2%
				63%	33%	4%[aw]
Morning Consult	October 10–15, 2024	490 (LV)	± 4.0%	64%	31%	4%
ActiVote	September 8 – October 14, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63%	37%	–
Braun Research[AS]	September 19–23, 2024	1,012 (LV)	± 3.5%	64%	32%	5%[ax]
		1,012 (RV)	± 3.5%	62%	32%	6%[ay]
Morning Consult	September 9–18, 2024	516 (LV)	± 4.0%	61%	33%	6%
Public Policy Polling (D)	September 16–17, 2024	543 (RV)	± 4.2%	64%	33%	3%
Emerson College	September 12–13, 2024	890 (LV)	± 3.2%	65%	33%	2%
				63%	32%	5%
Morning Consult	August 30 – September 8, 2024	516 (LV)	± 4.0%	62%	34%	4%
Gonzales Research	August 24–30, 2024	820 (RV)	± 3.5%	56%	35%	10%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[AG]	August 14–20, 2024	700 (LV)	± 4.0%	64%	32%	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[an]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Undecided
Chism Strategies	October 28–30, 2024	510 (LV)	± 4.34%	56%	33%	0%	0%	1%	10%[az]
YouGov[ba]	October 23–27, 2024	500 (LV)	± 5.2%	61%	34%	–	0%	2%	5%
University of Maryland, Baltimore County	September 23–28, 2024	863 (LV)	± 3.3%	57%	35%	2%	0%	1%	5%[bb]
Braun Research[AS]	September 19–23, 2024	1,012 (LV)	± 3.5%	63%	31%	–	1%	1%	5%[bc]
		1,012 (RV)	± 3.5%	61%	31%	–	1%	1%	6%[bd]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[AG]	August 14–20, 2024	700 (LV)	± 4.0%	59%	29%	5%	1%	1%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[280]	October 2–30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	66%	34%	–
Emerson College[281][AT]	October 24–26, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	59%	36%	5%[k]
				60%[e]	37%	3%[k]
ActiVote[282]	September 6 – October 16, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	67%	33%	–
MassINC Polling Group[283][AU]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.1%	63%	35%	2%[be]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[284]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	744 (LV)	± 3.6%	60%	34%	–	2%	1%	3%[bf]
YouGov[285][AV]	October 3–10, 2024	700 (A)	± 4.8%	56%	30%	–	2%	1%	11%[bg]
Suffolk University[286][AW]	October 1–4, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	61%	32%	–	1%	0%	6%[bg]
University of New Hampshire[287]	September 12–16, 2024	546 (LV)	± 4.1%	62%	31%	–	2%	0%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [bh]	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.6%	46.8%	4.6%	Harris +1.8%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.0%	47.0%	5.0%	Harris +1.0%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.4%	47.2%	4.4%	Harris +1.2%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.7%	48.3%	3.0%	Harris +0.4%
Average			48.4%	47.3%	4.3%	Harris 1.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,864 (RV)	± 2.3%	47%	46%	7%
				50.1%[e]	49.9%	–
		1,668 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
				50.3%[e]	49.7%	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,113 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Research Co.[288]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	47%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[289]	November 1–3, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	5%[f]
Patriot Polling[290]	November 1–3, 2024	858 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[291]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	6%[bi]
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,198 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Emerson College[292]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	790 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	48%	2%[h]
				51%[e]	49%	–
Mitchell Research[293][AX]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	585 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	48%	2%
New York Times/Siena College[294]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	998 (RV)	± 3.5%	45%	45%	9%
		998 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[295]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	733 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	46%	6%[bj]
		714 (LV)		49%	47%	4%[bk]
ActiVote[296]	October 8 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Rasmussen Reports (R)[297][D]	October 24 – November 1, 2024	908 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 3.0%	48.7%	49.3%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[298]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	985 (RV)	± 3.9%	50%	46%	4%
		942 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Morning Consult[299]	October 22−31, 2024	1,108 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Marist College[300]	October 27–30, 2024	1,356 (RV)	± 3.3%	51%	48%	1%[j]
		1,214 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	48%	1%[j]
Echelon Insights[301]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	48%	4%
Mitchell Research[302][AX]	October 28–29, 2024	– (LV)	± 2.5%	47%	48%	5%
AtlasIntel[36]	October 25–29, 2024	938 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Quantus Insights (R)[303][AY]	October 26–28, 2024	844 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	49%	2%
The Washington Post[304]	October 24–28, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.7%	45%	47%	8%
		1,003 (LV)		47%	46%	7%
Fox News[305]	October 24–28, 2024	1,275 (RV)	± 2.5%	50%	48%	2%
		988 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[306]	October 26–27, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	48%	5%[l]
Emerson College[307][AZ]	October 25–27, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%[h]
				49%	50%[e]	1%[h]
Susquehanna Polling & Research[308]	October 23–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	47%	1%
Patriot Polling[309]	October 24–26, 2024	796 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
CES/YouGov[310]	October 1–25, 2024	2,347 (A)	–	52%	45%	3%
		2,336 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
Quinnipiac University[311]	October 17–21, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	46%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[312]	October 18−20, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	46%	10%[bi]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	756 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
		705 (LV)		50%	46%	4%
The Bullfinch Group[313]	October 11−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	45%	2%
				51%	43%	6%[bl]
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,529 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
RMG Research[314][F]	October 10–16, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4%[bm]
				49%[e]	49%	2%
Morning Consult[299]	October 6−15, 2024	1,065 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Washington Post/Schar School[315]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	687 (RV)	± 4.6%	46%	47%	7%
		687 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Mitchell Research[316][AX]	October 14, 2024	589 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[317][D]	October 9–14, 2024	1,058 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
SoCal Strategies (R)[318][B]	October 10–13, 2024	692 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	48%	3%
Michigan State University/YouGov[319]	September 23 – October 10, 2024	845 (LV)	–	52%	48%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)[320]	October 8–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	48%	6%[f]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[321][E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[322][AG]	October 2–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%[g]
ActiVote[323]	September 15 – October 9, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Emerson College[324]	October 5–8, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	49%	49%	2%[h]
				50%[e]	50%	–
Wall Street Journal[53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	49%	47%	4%
Research Co.[325]	October 5–7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	46%	44%	10%[bn]
				51%[e]	48%	1%[bn]
Quinnipiac University[326]	October 3–7, 2024	1,007 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	51%	2%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[327][G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%
Mitchell Research[328][AX]	September 30, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[329]	September 28–30, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	47%	9%[bi]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[62][K]	September 23–29, 2024	404 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	49%	4%
RMG Research[330][F]	September 24–27, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	4%[n]
				50%[e]	47%	3%
New York Times/Siena College[331]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	8%
		688 (LV)		48%	47%	5%
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	918 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[65]	September 19–25, 2024	416 (LV)	–	51%	48%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	894 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
		800 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies[332][BA]	September 19–23, 2024	400 (LV)	–	51%	45%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[333][D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Emerson College[334]	September 15–18, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	4%[h]
				50%[e]	49%	1%[h]
Morning Consult[299]	September 9−18, 2024	1,297 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	44%	4%
Marist College[335]	September 12−17, 2024	1,282 (RV)	± 3.2%	50%	47%	3%[j]
		1,138 (LV)	± 3.4%	52%	47%	1%[j]
Quinnipiac University[336]	September 12–16, 2024	905 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	46%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[337]	September 11–12, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3%[g]
Mitchell Research[338][AX]	September 11, 2024	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Morning Consult[299]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,368 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R)[339]	September 4–6, 2024	931 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	47%	6%
CBS News/YouGov[340]	September 3–6, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	49%	1%
Patriot Polling[341]	September 1–3, 2024	822 (RV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Cygnal (R)[342]	August 28 – September 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Trafalgar Group (R)[343]	August 28–30, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	47%	6%
Emerson College[344]	August 25–28, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	47%	3%[bo]
				51%[e]	48%	1%[bp]
ActiVote[345]	July 28 – August 28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
EPIC-MRA[346]	August 23–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[347]	August 23–26, 2024	651 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
		702 (RV)		49%	46%	5%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[348][BB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.0%	44%	44%	12%[bq]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	48%	5%
TIPP Insights[349][N]	August 20–22, 2024	741 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	46%	6%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Fabrizio Ward (R)[350][BC]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	48%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[351][P]	August 13–19, 2024	1,093 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Focaldata[352]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	53%	47%	–
The Bullfinch Group[353][AE]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[354][AG]	August 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[355]	August 6–8, 2024	800 (LV)	–	49%	47%	4%
New York Times/Siena College[356]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (RV)	± 4.8%	45%	48%	7%
		619 (LV)		50%	46%	5%
Navigator Research (D)[357]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[358]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	406 (LV)	–	49%	46%	6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[359][R]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	45%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[360]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	4%
SoCal Strategies (R)[361][BD]	July 25–26, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	49%	5%
Fox News[362]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College[363]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	45%	46%	9%
				49%[e]	51%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
	July 19, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[364][Q]	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	46%	48%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[365]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	47%	9%
New York Times/Siena College[366]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%
		616 (LV)		48%	46%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,864 (RV)	± 2.3%	46%	45%	1%	0%	–	8%
				48.6%[e]	48.3%	2.1%	1.0%	–	–
		1,668 (LV)		48%	48%	1%	1%	–	2%
				49.5%[e]	48.8%	1.1%	0.7%	–	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,113 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	–	2%	0%	–
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,198 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
New York Times/Siena College[294]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	998 (RV)	± 3.5%	42%	44%	1%	2%	2%	9%
		998 (LV)		45%	45%	0%	2%	1%	7%
Focaldata[367]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	2,092 (LV)	–	50%	45%	–	1%	1%	3%
		1,941 (RV)	± 2.1%	51%	44%	–	1%	1%	3%
		2,092 (A)	–	50%	44%	–	1%	1%	4%
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[368]	October 28–31, 2024	1,731 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	985 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	45%	0%	2%	–	6%
		942 (LV)		48%	45%	0%	2%	–	5%
AtlasIntel[36]	October 25–29, 2024	938 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[369]	October 25–27, 2024	728 (LV)	–	49%	48%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[370]	October 20–22, 2024	1,115 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	0%	5%
Quinnipiac University[311]	October 17–21, 2024	1,136 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	46%	1%	1%	0%	3%[br]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	756 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	45%	–	1%	2%	5%
		705 (LV)		49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[371]	October 16–18, 2024	1,008 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[372]	October 12–14, 2024	682 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
Quinnipiac University[326]	October 3–7, 2024	1,007 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	1%	0%	1%	1%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[373]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	839 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	0%	1%	5%
New York Times/Siena College[331]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	46%	–	2%	2%	7%
		688 (LV)		46%	46%	–	2%	1%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	894 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	45%	–	1%	2%	3%
		800 (LV)		50%	46%	–	1%	1%	2%
Remington Research Group (R)[374][BE]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	0%	1%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[375]	September 16–19, 2024	993 (LV)	–	46%	45%	–	0%	1%	8%
Quinnipiac University[336]	September 12–16, 2024	905 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	45%	0%	2%	0%	3%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[376]	September 6–9, 2024	556 (LV)	–	48%	45%	–	1%	1%	5%
YouGov[377][C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	43%	1%	1%	–	7%[g]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[378]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	47%	44%	–	1%	1%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[347]	August 23–26, 2024	651 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
		702 (RV)		48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr.[bs] Natural Law	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 7, 2024	October 13, 2024	47.0%	46.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.6%	—	2.7%	Harris +0.1%
270toWin	October 7 – 11, 2024	October 11, 2024	47.0%	46.6%	2.3%	0.3%	1.0%	0.8%	2.0%	Harris +0.4%
Average			47.0%	46.8%	2.1%	0.6%	0.8%	0.8%	1.9%	Harris +0.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Natural Law	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Mitchell Research[293][AX]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	585 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	0%	1%	1%	1%	–
Echelon Insights[301]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	1%	0%	0%	0%	5%
EPIC-MRA[379][BF]	October 24–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	3%	1%	3%	–	–
Fox News[305]	October 24–28, 2024	1,275 (RV)	± 2.5%	49%	45%	3%	1%	0%	1%	1%
		988 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	3%	1%	0%	1%	1%
CNN/SSRS[380]	October 23–28, 2024	726 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	43%	3%	1%	2%	0%	3%
Suffolk University/USA Today[381]	October 24–27, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	47%	1%	1%	1%	0%	3%[bt]
Glengariff Group[382][BG]	October 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	4%	–	2%	1%	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[383]	October 16–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	49%	45%	1%	0%	0%	1%	4%[bt]
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,529 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	1%	0%	1%	0%	1%
Mitchell Research[316][AX]	October 14, 2024	589 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	0%	0%	1%	1%	4%
Marketing Resource Group[384]	October 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	44%	3%	–	2%	–	6%[bu]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[322][AG]	October 2–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	3%	0%	1%	0%	4%
Wall Street Journal[53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	2%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Glengariff Group[385][BG]	October 1–4, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	5%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Mitchell Research[328][AX]	September 30, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2%[bt]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[62][K]	September 23–29, 2024	404 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	48%	2%	1%	0%	0%	3%
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	918 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	0%	–	2%	0%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[65]	September 19–25, 2024	416 (LV)	–	49%	46%	0%	1%	2%	–	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[386]	September 11–19, 2024	650 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	2%	–	2%	2%	3%[bv]
Suffolk University/USA Today[387]	September 16–18, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	45%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6%[bt]
Mitchell Research[338][AX]	September 11, 2024	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	2%	0%	1%	–	4%[bt]
CNN/SSRS[388]	August 23–29, 2024	708 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	43%	4%	–	1%	1%	3%
Z to A Research (D)[389][BH]	August 23–26, 2024	518 (LV)	–	47%	47%	3%	–	1%	1%	1%
YouGov[348][BB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.0%	44%	42%	5%	1%	0%	1%	7%[bw]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	46%	4%	0%	0%	0%	3%
TIPP Insights[349][N]	August 20–22, 2024	741 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	45%	5%	1%	1%	–	2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[351][P]	August 13–17, 2024	1,093 (LV)	–	47%	44%	4%	1%	1%	–	3%
Focaldata[352]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	51%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	–
		702 (RV)		50%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	1%
		702 (A)		50%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[390]	August 12–15, 2024	530 (LV)	–	44%	45%	5%	–	1%	0%	5%
The Bullfinch Group[353][AE]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	40%	7%	1%	1%	–	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[354][AG]	August 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	45%	6%	1%	1%	0%	4%
New York Times/Siena College[356]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (RV)	± 4.8%	44%	43%	5%	0%	1%	0%	6%
		619 (LV)		48%	43%	4%	0%	1%	0%	3%
Navigator Research (D)[357]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	5%	1%	0%	0%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[358]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	406 (LV)	–	46%	44%	6%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[391]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	771 (LV)	–	41%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[360]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	39%	5%	–	1%	2%	2%
Fox News[362]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	45%	7%	1%	1%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[392]	July 22–24, 2024	512 (LV)	–	41%	44%	7%	–	0%	0%	8%
Glengariff Group[393][BG]	July 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	41%	10%	–	1%	1%	5%
Emerson College[363]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	44%	5%	1%	1%	0%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Glengariff Group[394][BG]	August 26–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	5%	1%	5%
EPIC-MRA[346]	August 23–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	3%	1%	5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[395][BI]	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	41%	46%	5%	1%	7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)[350][BC]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	43%	5%	8%
Civiqs[396][BH]	July 13–16, 2024	532 (RV)	± 5.3%	46%	46%	5%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [bx]	Margin
270ToWin	October 16–November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	49.8%	43.6%	6.6%	Harris +6.2%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	50.0%	44.2%	5.8%	Harris +5.8%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	50.4%	43.9%	5.7%	Harris +6.5%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	49.9%	45.5%	4.6%	Harris +4.4%
Average			50.0%	44.3%	5.7%	Harris +5.7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,065 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	47%	4%
Research Co.[397]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	44%	5%
ActiVote[398]	October 9 – November 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	48%	–
SurveyUSA[399][BJ]	October 24–28, 2024	728 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	43%	5%[f]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[400][D]	October 24–26, 2024	959 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%[f]
CES/YouGov[401]	October 1–25, 2024	1,278 (A)	–	52%	44%	4%
		1,275 (LV)		53%	43%	4%
Embold Research/MinnPost[402]	October 16–22, 2024	1,734 (LV)	± 2.4%	48%	45%	7%[aa]
ActiVote[403]	September 10 – October 9, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	47%	–
SurveyUSA[404][BJ]	September 23–26, 2024	646 (LV)	± 4.3%	50%	44%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[405][D]	September 19−22, 2024	993 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
Mason-Dixon[406][BK]	September 16−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	43%	9%[f]
Morning Consult[135]	September 9−18, 2024	517 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	43%	7%
Embold Research/MinnPost[407]	September 4–8, 2024	1,616 (LV)	± 2.8%	49%	45%	6%[by]
Morning Consult[135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	501 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	44%	5%
SurveyUSA[408][BJ]	August 27–29, 2024	635 (LV)	± 4.5%	48%	43%	9%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
SurveyUSA[409][BJ]	July 23–25, 2024	656 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	40%	10%[bz]
Fox News[410]	July 22–24, 2024	1,071 (RV)	± 3.0%	52%	46%	2%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,065 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	47%	–	2%	1%	1%[g]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[411]	October 12–14, 2024	544 (LV)	–	51%	43%	–	1%	0%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[412]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	551 (LV)	–	51%	43%	–	0%	1%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[413]	September 16–19, 2024	703 (LV)	–	50%	44%	–	1%	0%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[414]	September 6–9, 2024	617 (LV)	–	51%	44%	–	0%	0%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Chism Strategies[415]	October 28–30, 2024	534 (LV)	± 4.2%	48%	43%	1%	–	1%	0%	7%[ca]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[416]	August 12–15, 2024	592 (LV)	–	47%	40%	3%	–	0%	0%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[417]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	538 (LV)	–	46%	41%	3%	–	0%	0%	10%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[418]	July 22–24, 2024	475 (LV)	–	44%	41%	6%	–	1%	0%	8%
Fox News[410]	July 22–24, 2024	1,071 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	41%	7%	1%	1%	–	3%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Research Co.[419]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	54%	39%	7%
ActiVote[420]	October 6–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
ActiVote[421]	September 8 – October 10, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
Emerson College[422]	September 12–13, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	53%	43%	4%[h]
				55%[e]	43%	2%[h]
Change Research (D)[423]	September 11–13, 2024	1,237 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	41%	9%
GQR (D)[424]	September 6–12, 2024	645 (LV)	± 3.9%	55%	44%	1%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
ActiVote[425]	July 25 – August 22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
YouGov/Saint Louis University[426]	August 8–16, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.8%	54%	41%	5%[cb]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)/Missouri Scout[427]	October 28–29, 2024	721 (LV)	± 3.6%	54%	40%	–	1%	1%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	752 (LV)	± 4.0%	59%	39%	2%
Emerson College[428][BL]	October 23–25, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	58%	39%	3%[n]
				59%[e]	40%	1%
New York Times/Siena College[429]	October 5–8, 2024	656 (RV)	± 4.0%	57%	39%	4%
		656 (LV)		57%	40%	3%
RMG Research[430][F]	September 12–19, 2024	491 (LV)	± 4.4%	59%	38%	3%[cc]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/ David Binder Research (D)[431][AG]	August 25–29, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	56%	41%	3%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
Rasmussen Reports (R)[432][P]	August 13–20, 2024	835 (LV)	± 3.0%	58%	35%	7%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
Emerson College[433]	August 5–6, 2024	1,000 (RV)	3.0%	55%	40%	5%
				58%[e]	43%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	752 (LV)	± 4.0%	57%	37%	–	2%	0%	4%[l]
New York Times/Siena College[429]	October 5–8, 2024	656 (RV)	± 4.0%	56%	38%	–	0%	0%	6%
		656 (LV)		56%	39%	–	0%	0%	5%
Remington Research Group (R)[434][BE]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	56%	39%	–	2%	–	3%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Montana State University Billings[435]	September 30 – October 16, 2024	760 (A)	± 3.6%	52%	34%	3%	–	1%	2%	8%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[432][P]	August 13–20, 2024	835 (LV)	± 3.0%	58%	31%	7%	0%	0%	0%	4%
American Pulse Research & Polling[436][BM]	August 10–12, 2024	538 (LV)	± 4.2%	52%	38%	6%	0%	0%	2%	8%
Emerson College[433]	August 5–6, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	54%	39%	5%	0%	0%	0%	2%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
RMG Research[437][F]	August 6–14, 2024	540 (RV)	± 4.2%	57%	39%	2%	2%

Statewide

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Change Research (D)[438][BN]	October 30–31, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.3%	57%	39%	4%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[439][BO]	October 25–28, 2024	605 (LV)	± 3.9%	56%	39%	5%
New York Times/Siena College[440]	October 23−26, 2024	1,194 (RV)	± 3.2%	55%	40%	5%
		1,194 (LV)		55%	40%	5%
Change Research (D)[441][BN]	October 18–21, 2024	815 (LV)	–	55%	41%	4%
Torchlight Strategies (R)[442][BO]	October 5–8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	37%	6%
Change Research (D)[443][BN]	October 3–8, 2024	895 (LV)	± 3.5%	58%	38%	4%
Impact Research (D)[444][BN]	October 1–3, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	58%	38%	4%
The Bullfinch Group[445][AE]	September 27 – October 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	42%	5%
				48%	38%	14%[cd]
SurveyUSA[446][BN]	September 20–23, 2024	558 (LV)	± 4.8%	56%	40%	5%[ce]
Global Strategy Group (D)[447][BP]	August 26–29, 2024	600 (LV)	–	54%	37%	9%
SurveyUSA[448][BK]	August 23–27, 2024	1,293 (RV)	± 3.5%	54%	37%	9%[cf]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[449]	October 21–28, 2024	1,206 (LV)	± 3.5%	55%	40%	0%	0%	1%	4%[g]
New York Times/Siena College[440]	October 23−26, 2024	1,194 (RV)	± 3.2%	53%	38%	0%	0%	1%	8%
		1,194 (LV)		53%	39%	0%	0%	1%	7%

Nebraska's 1st congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[449]	October 21–28, 2024	408 (LV)	–	51%	43%	0%	0%	3%	3%[g]

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[440]	October 23−26, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.8%	54%	42%	4%
New York Times/Siena College[450]	September 24–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	42%	7%
		680 (LV)		52%	43%	5%
SurveyUSA[448][BK]	August 23–27, 2024	507 (RV)	± 5.6%	47%	42%	11%[cg]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[449]	October 21–28, 2024	393 (LV)	–	52%	44%	0%	1%	1%	2%
New York Times/Siena College[440]	October 23−26, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.8%	53%	41%	0%	0%	1%	5%
New York Times/Siena College[450]	September 24–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	41%	–	2%	2%	6%
		680 (LV)		51%	42%	–	2%	1%	4%
CNN/SSRS[451]	September 20–25, 2024	794 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	1%	1%	1%	2%

Nebraska's 3rd congressional district

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs.Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
The Economist/YouGov[449]	October 21–28, 2024	404 (LV)	–	70%	25%	0%	0%	0%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [q]	Margin
270ToWin	October 22 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	47.6%	48.2%	4.2%	Trump +0.6%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	47.4%	47.7%	4.8%	Trump +0.3%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	48.5%	3.6%	Trump +0.6%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.5%	49.2%	3.3%	Trump +1.7%
Average			47.6%	48.3%	4.1%	Trump +0.7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,260 (RV)	± 2.8%	47%	46%	7%
				51.6%[e]	48.5%	–
		1,125 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
				50.5%[e]	49.5%	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	707 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	50%	3%
				47%	50%	3%[ch]
Patriot Polling[452]	November 1–3, 2024	792 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	782 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	52%	2%[ch]
				46%	51%	3%
Emerson College[453]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	840 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	48%	4%[ci]
				49%[e]	49%	1%[ci]
New York Times/Siena College[184]	October 24 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	46%	6%
		1,010 (LV)		49%	46%	5%
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	845 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
				47%	51%	2%[g]
Emerson College[454][BQ]	October 29–31, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.6%	48%	47%	5%[cj]
				49%[e]	48%	3%[cj]
Noble Predictive Insights[455]	October 28–31, 2024	593 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	3%
Susquehanna Polling & Research[456]	October 28–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	50%	6%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	790 (RV)	± 4.6%	50%	49%	1%
		773 (LV)		50%	49%	1%
Data for Progress (D)[457]	October 25–30, 2024	721 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[458][D]	October 25–30, 2024	767 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%[g]
AtlasIntel[459]	October 25–29, 2024	1,083 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
				48%	48%	4%[g]
Trafalgar Group (R)[460]	October 25–28, 2024	1,082 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	48%	4%[f]
CES/YouGov[461]	October 1–25, 2024	940 (A)	–	53%	44%	3%
		933 (LV)		51%	47%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[462]	October 20–21, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	449 (RV)	± 5.0%	49%	48%	3%
		420 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,171 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[463][AG]	October 8−15, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	49%	4%[ck]
Morning Consult[135]	October 6−15, 2024	496 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
Washington Post/Schar School[464]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	652 (RV)	± 4.8%	47%	44%	9%
		652 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[465][D]	October 9–14, 2024	748 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%[f]
Trafalgar Group (R)[466]	October 10–13, 2024	1,088 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	45%	9%[cl]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[467][E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	50%	3%
Emerson College[468]	October 5–8, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	47%	5%[cm]
				49%[e]	48%	3%[cn]
Wall Street Journal[53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	43%	49%	8%
RMG Research[469][F]	September 30 – October 3, 2024	782 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4%[co]
				49%[e]	49%	2%[cp]
OnMessage Inc. (R)[470][G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[471]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	1%[g]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[62][K]	September 23–29, 2024	407 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	47%	5%
TIPP Insights[472][N]	September 23−25, 2024	1,044 (RV)	± 3.7%	48%	44%	8%
		736 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
Quantus Insights (R)[473][AY]	September 23−25, 2024	628 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%[cq]
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	858 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[474]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	48%	47%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	574 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
		516 (LV)		52%	45%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[475][D]	September 19−22, 2024	738 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Remington Research Group (R)[476][BE]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
The Tarrance Group (R)[477][BR]	September 16–19, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.1%	47%	44%	9%[cr]
Emerson College[478]	September 15–18, 2024	895 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	48%	4%[n]
				49%[e]	49%	2%[n]
Morning Consult[135]	September 9−18, 2024	474 (LV)	± 5.0%	51%	47%	2%
Noble Predictive Insights[479]	September 9−16, 2024	812 (RV)	± 3.4%	48%	45%	7%
		692 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	47%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[480]	September 11–13, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	44%	11%[cs]
Morning Consult[135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	516 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Patriot Polling[481]	September 1–3, 2024	788 (RV)	–	47%	47%	6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[482]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	5%[ct]
Emerson College[483]	August 25–28, 2024	1,168 (LV)	± 2.8%	49%	48%	3%[cu]
				49%[e]	49%	1%[cv]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[484]	August 23–26, 2024	416 (LV)	± 5.0%	50%	46%	4%
		450 (RV)		49%	45%	6%
Fox News[80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,026 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%[g]
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[485][P]	August 13–18, 2024	980 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%
Focaldata[486]	August 6–16, 2024	678 (LV)	± 3.8%	54%	46%	–
New York Times/Siena College[487]	August 12–15, 2024	677 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	48%	6%
		677 (LV)		47%	48%	5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[488]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	403 (LV)	–	45%	48%	7%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[489][R]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	46%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[490]	July 24–28, 2024	454 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	7%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 18, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R)[491]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	40%	50%	10%
	July 15, 2024	Republican National Convention begins
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[492]	May 7–13, 2024	459 (RV)	± 5.0%	44%	47%	9%
Emerson College[493]	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	48%	13%
New York Times/Siena College[494]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	611 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	10%
		611 (LV)		42%	50%	8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein[cw] Green	Cornel West[cw] Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through November 2, 2024	November 3, 2024	47.9%	47.3%	—	—	1.2%	3.6%	Harris +0.6%
270toWin	October 22 – November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	47.8%	47.4%	0.0%	0.0%	1.0%	3.8%	Harris +0.4%
Average			47.9%	47.4%	0.0%	0.0%	1.1%	3.7%	Harris +0.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West[cw] Independent	Jill Stein[cw] Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,260 (RV)	± 2.8%	46%	45%	2%	1%	–	6%
				50%[e]	46%	3%	1%	–	–
		1,125 (LV)		48%	47%	2%	1%	–	2%
				49%[e]	48%	2%	1%	–	–
New York Times/Siena College[184]	October 24 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	47%	44%	–	–	3%	6%
		1,010 (LV)		48%	46%	–	–	2%	4%
Focaldata[495]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,324 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	1%	4%
		1,197 (RV)	± 2.7%	49%	45%	–	0%	2%	4%
		1,324 (A)	–	48%	44%	–	0%	2%	1%
Noble Predictive Insights[455]	October 28–31, 2024	593 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	–	–	0%	3%[cx]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[496]	October 28–31, 2024	690 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	1%	4%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	790 (RV)	± 4.6%	48%	47%	0%	0%	–	5%
		773 (LV)		48%	47%	0%	0%	–	5%
Data for Progress (D)[457]	October 25–30, 2024	721 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	–	1%	3%[cx]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[497]	October 25–27, 2024	531 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	–	1%	6%
CNN/SSRS[498]	October 21–26, 2024	683 (LV)	± 4.6%	47%	48%	–	–	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[499]	October 20–22, 2024	540 (LV)	–	46%	47%	–	0%	0%	7%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[500][BS]	October 19–22, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	50%	–	–	0%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	449 (RV)	± 5.0%	48%	47%	–	0%	2%	3%
		420 (LV)		48%	48%	–	0%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[501]	October 16–18, 2024	529 (LV)	–	46%	47%	–	1%	1%	5%
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,171 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	2%	0%	2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[463][AG]	October 8−15, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	–	–	1%	6%[ck]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[502]	October 12–14, 2024	838 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[503]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	514 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
TIPP Insights[472][N]	September 23−25, 2024	1,044 (RV)	± 3.7%	48%	43%	1%	0%	−	9%
		736 (LV)		50%	49%	0%	0%	−	1%
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	858 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	–	1%	–	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	574 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	44%	–	3%	4%	3%
		516 (LV)		50%	44%	–	2%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[504]	September 16–19, 2024	652 (LV)	–	45%	45%	–	0%	1%	9%
Noble Predictive Insights[479]	September 9−16, 2024	812 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	43%	–	0%	1%	10%[cy]
		692 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%[cz]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[505]	September 6–9, 2024	698 (LV)	–	45%	46%	–	1%	1%	7%
YouGov[506][C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	800 (RV)	± 4.7%	49%	46%	0%	1%	–	4%[g]
CNN/SSRS[507]	August 23–29, 2024	976 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[508]	August 25–28, 2024	490 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	0%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[484]	August 23–26, 2024	416 (LV)	± 5.0%	48%	46%	–	2%	3%	1%
		450 (RV)		48%	45%	–	2%	4%	1%
Fox News[80]	August 23–26, 2024	1,026 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	2%	1%	1%	2%[g]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [da]	Margin
270ToWin	October 24 – November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	50.5%	45.5%	4.0%	Harris +5.0%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	50.3%	45.4%	4.3%	Harris +4.9%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	50.9%	46.3%	2.8%	Harris +4.6%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	53.3%	42.5%	4.2%	Harris +10.8%
Average			51.3%	44.9%	3.8%	Harris +6.4%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Dartmouth College[509]	November 1–3, 2024	587 (LV)	± 4.0%	62%	34%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[510][D]	October 24–28, 2024	901 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%[l]
Praecones Analytica/NHJournal[511]	October 24–26, 2024	622 (RV)	–	50%	50%	–
CES/YouGov[512]	October 1–25, 2024	380 (A)	–	52%	45%	3%
		375 (LV)		52%	45%	3%
Emerson College[513][AT]	October 21–23, 2024	915 (LV)	± 3.2%	50%	47%	3%[n]
				51%[e]	47%	2%[n]
Dartmouth College[514]	October 5–18, 2024	2,211 (RV)	± 2.1%	59%	38%	3%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire[515]	August 15–19, 2024	2,048 (LV)	± 2.2%	52%	47%	1%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Emerson College[516]	July 26–28, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	46%	4%
				52%[e]	48%	–
University of New Hampshire[517]	July 23–25, 2024	2,875 (LV)	± 1.8%	53%	46%	1%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Trafalgar Group (R)[518]	December 10–12, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[519]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	2,814 (LV)	± 1.9%	51%	46%	–	0%	1%	2%[x]
Saint Anselm College[520]	October 28–29, 2024	2,791 (LV)	± 2.6%	51%	46%	0%	0%	1%	2%[h]
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[521]	October 10–23, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	43%	–	1%	1%	5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[522]	October 2–10, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.8%	50%	41%	–	1%	1%	7%
Saint Anselm College[523]	October 1–2, 2024	2,104 (LV)	± 2.1%	51%	44%	0%	1%	1%	3%[h]
University of New Hampshire[524]	September 12–16, 2024	1,695 (LV)	± 2.4%	54%	43%	–	0%	1%	2%[x]
Saint Anselm College[525]	September 11–12, 2024	2,241 (LV)	± 2.1%	51%	43%	0%	1%	1%	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Research Co.[526]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	57%	40%	3%
Rutgers-Eagleton[527]	October 15–22, 2024	451 (RV)	–	55%	35%	10%[db]
		478 (RV)		51%[dc]	37%	12%[dd]
ActiVote[528]	October 2–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
Cygnal (R)[529]	October 23–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	40%	8%[de]
ActiVote[530]	September 4 – October 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Victory Insights[531]	November 1–3, 2024	600 (LV)	–	49.6%	44.7%	5.7%[df]
SurveyUSA[532][BT]	October 28–31, 2024	632 (LV)	± 5.5%	50%	44%	6%[l]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[533][D]	October 24–26, 2024	749 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	44%	7%[bi]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[534][D]	September 19−22, 2024	708 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	44%	6%
SurveyUSA[535]	September 12–18, 2024	619 (LV)	± 5.4%	50%	42%	8%
	September 10, 2024	The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
Emerson College[536]	August 20–22, 2024	956 (RV)	± 3.1%	52%	42%	6%
				54%[e]	46%	–
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[537]	October 12–14, 2024	382 (LV)	–	49%	45%	–	2%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[538]	September 6–9, 2024	521 (LV)	–	49%	44%	–	1%	1%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Emerson College[539]	August 20–22, 2024	956 (RV)	± 3.1%	51%	40%	3%	0%	0%	0%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[540]	August 12–15, 2024	592 (LV)	–	47%	41%	6%	–	0%	0%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[541]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	493 (LV)	–	44%	37%	8%	–	0%	0%	11%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Research & Polling Inc.[542][BU]	October 10–18, 2024	1,024 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%	41%	3%	6%
Research & Polling Inc.[543][BU]	September 6–13, 2024	532 (LV)	± 4.2%	49%	39%	3%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Research Co.[544]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	57%	41%	2%
ActiVote[545]	October 7–27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
Siena College[546]	October 13–17, 2024	872 (LV)	± 4.1%	58%	39%	3%
ActiVote[547]	September 4–30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	61%	39%	–
Emerson College[548][BV]	September 23–25, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	54%	40%	6%[dg]
Siena College[549]	September 11–16, 2024	1,003 (LV)	± 4.3%	55%	42%	3%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote[550]	August 1–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Siena College[551]	July 28 – August 1, 2024	1,199 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	39%	8%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
SoCal Strategies (R)[552][AH]	July 18–19, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	41%	7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Siena College[549]	September 11–16, 2024	1,003 (LV)	± 4.3%	52%	40%	1%	2%	0%	5%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [dh]	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.3%	48.6%	4.1%	Trump +1.3%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.4%	48.3%	4.3%	Trump +0.9%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.7%	48.8%	3.5%	Trump +1.1%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 5, 2024	47.9%	49.4%	2.7%	Trump +1.5%
Average			47.6%	48.8%	3.6%	Trump +1.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,815 (RV)	± 2.3%	48%	47%	5%
				50.5%[e]	49.5%	–
		1,600 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
				50.2%[e]	49.8%	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,219 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
Patriot Polling[553]	November 1–3, 2024	799 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	49%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)[554]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	47%	4%[f]
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,310 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	2%
Emerson College[555]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3%[h]
				50%[e]	49%	1%[h]
New York Times/Siena College[556]	October 28 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	44%	48%	8%
		1,010 (LV)		46%	48%	6%
ActiVote[557]	October 17 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Morning Consult[135]	October 23 − November 1, 2024	1,056 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,373 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	2%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	987 (RV)	± 4.2%	49%	49%	2%
		949 (LV)		50%	49%	1%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[558][D]	October 25–30, 2024	751 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%[g]
AtlasIntel[36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,665 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[559]	October 25–28, 2024	1,091 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	46%	5%[g]
Fox News[305]	October 24–28, 2024	1,113 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
		872 (LV)		50%	49%	1%
SurveyUSA[560][BW]	October 23–26, 2024	853 (LV)	± 4.1%	47%	47%	6%[f]
CES/YouGov[561]	October 1–25, 2024	2,330 (A)	–	48%	49%	3%
		2,308 (LV)		50%	48%	2%
Emerson College[562]	October 21–22, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	50%	48%	2%[n]
				50%[e]	48%	2%[n]
Marist College[563]	October 17–22, 2024	1,410 (RV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3%[di]
		1,226 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	48%	2%[j]
SoCal Strategies (R)[564][B]	October 20–21, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	46%	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[565]	October 19–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4%[f]
High Point University/SurveyUSA[566]	October 17–20, 2024	1,164 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	47%	7%[g]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	755 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
		702 (LV)		50%	48%	2%
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,674 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	51%	–
Elon University[567]	October 10–17, 2024	800 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	46%	8%[dj]
Morning Consult[135]	October 6−15, 2024	1,072 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post/Schar School[568]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	965 (RV)	± 3.9%	49%	45%	6%
		965 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Quinnipiac University[197]	October 10–14, 2024	1,031 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[569][D]	October 9–14, 2024	1,042 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	46%	3%[g]
Trafalgar Group (R)[570]	October 10–13, 2024	1,085 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	45%	6%[bi]
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[571][E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	5%
Emerson College[572]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%[h]
				50%[e]	49%	1%[h]
Wall Street Journal[53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	47%	6%
ActiVote[573]	September 7 – October 6, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	51%	–
InsiderAdvantage (R)[574]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
Quinnipiac University[204]	September 25–29, 2024	953 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post[575]	September 25–29, 2024	1,001 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3%[h]
		1,001 (LV)		50%	48%	2%[h]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[62][K]	September 23–29, 2024	401 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	47%	5%
High Point University[576]	September 20–29, 2024	814 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	48%	6%[n]
		589 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	48%	4%[n]
Emerson College[577][BX]	September 27–28, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3%[h]
				50%[e]	49%	1%[h]
RMG Research[578][F]	September 25–27, 2024	780 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	46%	5%[dk]
				51%[e]	47%	2%[dl]
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,173 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	51%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[65]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	49%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	889 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
		828 (LV)		48%	50%	2%
Fox News[579]	September 20−24, 2024	991 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
		787 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
Marist College[580]	September 19−24, 2024	1,507 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%[j]
		1,348 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	49%	2%[j]
The Bullfinch Group[581][AE]	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[582][D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[583]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	47%	5%
		682 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Meredith College[584]	September 18−20, 2024	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4%[dm]
Victory Insights[585]	September 16−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
Emerson College[586]	September 15–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%[h]
				49%[e]	50%	1%[h]
Morning Consult[135]	September 9−18, 2024	1,314 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[587][AG]	September 11–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%[g]
TIPP Insights[588][N]	September 11–13, 2024	973 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	46%	5%
Elon University[589]	September 4−13, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.8%	45%	46%	9%[dn]
Trafalgar Group (R)[590]	September 11–12, 2024	1,094 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	46%	6%[f]
Quantus Insights (R)[591][AY]	September 11–12, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	47%	5%[do]
				50%	48%	2%[dp]
Quinnipiac University[215]	September 4–8, 2024	940 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	50%	3%[n]
Morning Consult[135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,369 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
SurveyUSA[592][BW]	September 4–7, 2024	900 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	49%	5%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[593]	September 5–6, 2024	692 (RV)	± 3.7%	47%	46%	7%[dn]
		619 (LV)		48%	47%	5%[aj]
Patriot Polling[594]	September 1–3, 2024	804 (RV)	–	50%	48%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[595]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%[aj]
ActiVote[596]	August 6–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Emerson College[597]	August 25–28, 2024	775 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%
				50%[e]	49%	1%[h]
SoCal Strategies (R)[598][B]	August 26–27, 2024	612 (LV)	–	50%	46%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[599]	August 23–26, 2024	645 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
		700 (RV)		47%	49%	4%
Fox News[80]	August 23–26, 2024	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1%[g]
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
High Point University/SurveyUSA[600]	August 19–21, 2024	1,053 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	9%
		941 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
Spry Strategies (R)[81][O]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	6%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
Focaldata[601]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	50%	–
New York Times/Siena College[602]	August 9–14, 2024	655 (RV)	± 4.2%	46%	49%	5%
		655 (LV)		47%	49%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[603]	August 6–8, 2024	1,082 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	45%	6%
Navigator Research (D)[604]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[605]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	403 (LV)	–	47%	48%	5%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[606]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[607]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	40%	10%
Emerson College[608]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	41%	9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 2, 2024	October 15, 2024	47.1%	47.8%	1.0%	0.8%	—	3.3%	Trump +0.8%
270toWin	October 1 – 11, 2024	October 11, 2024	46.6%	47.0%	0.8%	1.0%	0.5%	4.1%	Trump +0.4%
Average			47.0%	47.5%	0.8%	0.8%	0.6%	3.3%	Trump +0.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	1,815 (RV)	± 2.3%	48%	46%	1%	1%	–	4%
				49.0%[e]	48.5%	1.6%	0.9%	–	–
		1,600 (LV)		49%	48%	1%	0%	–	2%
				49.2%[e]	49.0%	1.2%	0.6%	–	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,219 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	–	1%	0%	1%[g]
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	1,310 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	–	1%	0%	2%[g]
New York Times/Siena College[556]	October 28 – November 2, 2024	1,010 (RV)	± 3.5%	43%	47%	0%	0%	1%	9%
		1,010 (LV)		45%	48%	0%	0%	0%	7%
Focaldata[609]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	1,787 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	1%	1%	2%
		1,785 (RV)	± 2.2%	46%	50%	–	1%	1%	2%
		1,987 (A)	–	46%	48%	–	2%	1%	4%
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,373 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	47%	–	1%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[610]	October 28–31, 2024	1,123 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	987 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	47%	0%	1%	–	4%
		949 (LV)		49%	48%	0%	1%	–	2%
AtlasIntel[36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,665 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	1%	0%	3%[g]
East Carolina University[611]	October 24–29, 2024	1,250 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	0%	0%	0%	2%
CNN/SSRS[612]	October 23–28, 2024	750 (LV)	± 4.5%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[613]	October 25–27, 2024	770 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	1%	1%	4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[614]	October 16–23, 2024	650 (LV)	± 4.2%	47%	45%	1%	1%	0%	6%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[615]	October 20–22, 2024	679 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	1%	0%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	755 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	46%	–	1%	3%	1%
		702 (LV)		49%	48%	–	1%	1%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[616]	October 16–18, 2024	843 (LV)	–	48%	45%	–	1%	0%	6%
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	1,674 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	50%	0%	1%	0%	–
Cygnal (R)[617][BY]	October 6–15, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	1%	0%	1%	4%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[618]	October 12–14, 2024	620 (LV)	–	48%	46%	–	0%	1%	5%
Quinnipiac University[197]	October 10–14, 2024	1,031 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	49%	0%	0%	1%	3%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[619]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	753 (LV)	–	47%	45%	–	1%	0%	7%
Quinnipiac University[204]	September 25–29, 2024	953 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	1%	1%	0%	2%[br]
East Carolina University[620]	September 23–26, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	0%	0%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,173 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	1%	1%	0%	–
CNN/SSRS[621]	September 20–25, 2024	931 (LV)	± 3.9%	48%	48%	1%	0%	1%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[65]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	46%	49%	1%	2%	–	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	889 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	–	1%	3%	2%
		828 (LV)		47%	49%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News[579]	September 20−24, 2024	991 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	2%
		787 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	1%	1%	1%	1%
New York Times/Siena College[583]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.2%	46%	46%	–	0%	1%	7%
		682 (LV)		47%	45%	–	0%	1%	7%
Meredith College[622]	September 18–20, 2024	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	0%	1%	1%	2%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[623]	September 16–19, 2024	868 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	0%	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[587][AG]	September 11–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Cygnal (R)[624][BY]	September 15–16, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	2%	0%	1%	6%[br]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[625]	September 6–9, 2024	495 (LV)	–	44%	45%	–	0%	0%	11%
Quinnipiac University[215]	September 4–8, 2024	940 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	49%	0%	1%	0%	4%[h]
YouGov[626][C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	46%	0%	1%	–	6%[g]
East Carolina University[627]	August 26–28, 2024	920 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	0%	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[628]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	45%	44%	–	1%	1%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[599]	August 23–26, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	–	1%	2%	2%
		645 (LV)		48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
Fox News[80]	August 23–26, 2024	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	2%	1%	1%	1%[g]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic–NPL	Other / Undecided
Lake Research Partners (D)[629][BZ]	September 23–26, 2024	500 (LV)	–	50%	40%	10%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic–NPL	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[630][CA]	September 28–30, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	59%	32%	1%	8%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [dq]	Margin
270ToWin	October 22 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	44.3%	52.0%	3.7%	Trump +7.7%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	43.4%	52.3%	4.3%	Trump +8.8%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.6%	52.2%	3.2%	Trump +7.6%
Average			44.1%	52.2%	3.7%	Trump +8.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,022 (LV)	± 3.0%	54%	45%	1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[631]	November 2–4, 2024	1,095 (LV)	± 2.9%	52%	45%	3%[f]
Emerson College[632][CB]	October 30 − November 2, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.2%	54%	42%	4%[dr]
				54.7%[ds]	43.5%	1.9%
Morning Consult[135]	October 23 − November 1, 2024	1,254 (LV)	± 3.0%	53%	44%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[633][CC]	October 25–28, 2024	1,127 (LV)	± 2.9%	52%	46%	2%[g]
ActiVote[634]	October 5−28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
CES/YouGov[635]	October 1–25, 2024	3,120 (A)	–	52%	45%	3%
		3,091 (LV)		52%	45%	3%
J.L. Partners[636]	October 22−24, 2024	997 (LV)	± 3.1%	53%	44%	3%
University of Akron[637]	September 12 – October 24, 2024	1,241 (RV)	± 2.8%	51%	44%	5%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[638]	October 10−21, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	43%	5%[dt]
Morning Consult[135]	October 6−15, 2024	1,243 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	45%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[639][D]	October 9−14, 2024	1,051 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	44%	5%[f]
Washington Post[640]	October 3–7, 2024	1,002 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	44%	5%[du]
		1,002 (LV)		51%	45%	4%[h]
Marist College[641]	October 3–7, 2024	1,511 (RV)	± 3.0%	52%	46%	2%[j]
		1,327 (LV)	± 3.2%	52%	46%	2%[j]
ActiVote[642]	August 28 – September 30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[643]	September 18–27, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.6%	51%	44%	5%[dv]
New York Times/Siena College[644]	September 21–26, 2024	687 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
		687 (LV)		50%	44%	6%
RMG Research[645][F]	September 18−20, 2024	757 (LV)	± 3.5%	54%	43%	3%[dw]
Morning Consult[135]	September 9−18, 2024	1,488 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	43%	5%
Morning Consult[135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,558 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	44%	4%
Emerson College[646]	September 3–5, 2024	945 (LV)	± 3.1%	53%	43%	4%
				54%[e]	45%	1%[h]
SoCal Strategies (R)[647][B]	August 31 – September 1, 2024	600 (LV)	–	52%	43%	5%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
ActiVote[648]	August 2–22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[649][P]	August 13–17, 2024	1,267 (LV)	–	51%	44%	5%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[650][AG]	July 23–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	42%	6%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Ohio Northern University[651]	March 6–11, 2024	1,241 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	38%	11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,022 (LV)	± 3.0%	54%	45%	–	1%	0%	–
Focaldata[652]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	2,161 (LV)	–	53%	44%	–	0%	1%	2%
		1,867 (RV)	± 2.1%	52%	45%	–	0%	2%	1%
		2,161 (A)	–	53%	42%	–	0%	2%	3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[653][BS]	October 19–22, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	44%	–	1%	1%	2%[g]
New York Times/Siena College[644]	September 21–26, 2024	687 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	–	2%	2%	5%
		687 (LV)		49%	43%	–	2%	2%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[654]	October 3–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	67%	33%	–
ActiVote[655]	September 13 – October 19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	66%	34%	–
SoonerPoll[656]	August 24–31, 2024	323 (LV)	± 5.5%	56%	40%	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[657][CD]	October 16–17, 2024	716 (LV)	± 3.7%	53%	41%	6%
Hoffman Research[658]	July 24–26, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	44%	7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided [dx]	Margin
270ToWin	October 23 – November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.2%	48.2%	3.6%	Tie
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	47.9%	47.7%	4.4%	Harris +0.2%
Silver Bulletin	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.0%	48.1%	3.9%	Trump +0.1%
Real Clear Politics	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.5%	48.9%	2.6%	Trump +0.4%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	48.0%	48.8%	3.2%	Trump +0.8%
Average			48.12%	48.34%	3.8%	Trump +0.22%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	2,333 (RV)	± 2.3%	49%	45%	6%
				52%[e]	48%	–
		2,103 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
				52%[e]	48%	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,840 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	50%	1%
Research Co.[659]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	48%	47%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[660]	November 1–3, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	5%[l]
Patriot Polling[661]	November 1–3, 2024	903 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[662]	November 1–2, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%[f]
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	2,049 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	50%	2%
Emerson College[663]	October 30 – November 2, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%[h]
				49%[e]	50%	1%[h]
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[294]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	1,527 (RV)	± 3.5%	47%	47%	5%
		1,527 (LV)		48%	48%	4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[664]	October 25 – November 2, 2024	798 (RV)	± 3.1%	48%	46%	6%[dy]
		699 (LV)		49%	47%	4%[dz]
ActiVote[665]	October 10 – November 2, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50.5%	49.5%	–
SoCal Strategies (R)[666][B]	October 30–31, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	48%	2%
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,738 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	49%	3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[667]	October 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	–	47%	49%	4%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	982 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	48%	2%
		956 (LV)		51%	48%	1%
Morning Consult[135]	October 22−31, 2024	1,395 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[668]	October 27–30, 2024	460 (RV)	± 6.0%	49%	47%	4%[ea]
Marist College[669]	October 27–30, 2024	1,558 (RV)	± 3.2%	51%	47%	2%[j]
		1,400 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	48%	2%[j]
Echelon Insights[301]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	46%	52%	2%
AtlasIntel[36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,299 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[670][D]	October 25–28, 2024	849 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%[f]
Fox News[305]	October 24–28, 2024	1,310 (RV)	± 2.5%	50%	48%	2%
		1,057 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Quinnipiac University[671]	October 24–28, 2024	2,186 (LV)	± 2.1%	47%	49%	4%
CBS News/YouGov[672]	October 22–28, 2024	1,273 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	49%	1%[eb]
InsiderAdvantage (R)[673]	October 26–27, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	5%[l]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[674]	October 25–27, 2024	1,116 (LV)	± 2.8%	48%	48%	4%[f]
North Star Opinion Research (R)[487][CE]	October 22–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	6%[f]
CES/YouGov[675]	October 1–25, 2024	3,708 (A)	–	50%	47%	3%
		3,685 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
Emerson College[676][BQ]	October 21–22, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	49%	3%
				49%[e]	51%	–
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[677]	October 20–22, 2024	1,586 (LV)	± 2.3%	48%	47%	5%[f]
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[678][CF]	October 18−22, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	46%	8%
Quantus Insights (R)[679][CG]	October 17−20, 2024	840 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	866 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
		812 (LV)		50%	48%	2%
Franklin & Marshall College[680]	October 9−20, 2024	890 (RV)	± 4.3%	48%	44%	8%
		583 (LV)	± 5.0%	49%	50%	1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[681]	October 17−19, 2024	1,084 (LV)	± 2.9%	43%	46%	11%[ec]
The Bullfinch Group[682]	October 11−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
				49%	48%	3%[ed]
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	2,048 (LV)	± 2.0%	47%	50%	3%
Rose Institute/YouGov[683]	October 7–17, 2024	1,062 (RV)	± 3.4%	48%	46%	6%[ee]
		1,043 (LV)		50%	48%	2%
Morning Consult[135]	October 6−15, 2024	1,395 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post/Schar School[684]	September 30 – October 15, 2024	707 (RV)	± 4.6%	49%	46%	5%
		707 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[685][D]	October 9–13, 2024	1,072 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%[g]
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[50]	October 7–10, 2024	857 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	4%
		857 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
American Pulse Research & Polling[686]	October 2–10, 2024	1,193 (LV)	± 2.8%	49.5%	50.5%	–
TIPP Insights[687][CE]	October 7–9, 2024	1,079 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	45%	6%
		803 (LV)		48%	49%	3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)[688][E]	October 6–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[689]	October 7–8, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	49%	4%[f]
Emerson College[690]	October 5–8, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%[h]
				49%[e]	50%	1%[h]
Wall Street Journal[53]	September 28 – October 8, 2024	600 (RV)	± 5.0%	46%	47%	7%
Research Co.[691]	October 5–7, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	48%	47%	5%[bn]
				50%[e]	49%	1%[bn]
Quinnipiac University[326]	October 3–7, 2024	1,412 (LV)	± 2.6%	49%	47%	4%
Hunt Research[692][CH]	October 2–7, 2024	1,037 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	5%
Center for Working Class Politics/YouGov[693][CI]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 4.2%	47%	45%	8%[ef]
OnMessage Inc. (R)[694][G]	September 24 – October 2, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	46%	8%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[695][CJ]	September 28–29, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	47%	6%[l]
Patriot Polling[696]	September 27–29, 2024	816 (RV)	–	49%	50%	1%
The Bullfinch Group[697][CK]	September 26–29, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[698]	September 26–29, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	48%	7%[l]
Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)[62][K]	September 23–29, 2024	408 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	48%	4%
Emerson College[699][BQ]	September 27–28, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%[n]
				49%[e]	49%	2%[n]
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,775 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	51%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[65]	September 19–25, 2024	474 (LV)	–	50%	49%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	993 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
		924 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
ActiVote[700]	September 1–25, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	48%	–
Fox News[701]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
		775 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	49%	2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[702][AG]	September 17–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies[703][CL]	September 19–23, 2024	400 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[704][D]	September 19–22, 2024	1,202 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%[g]
				50%[e]	49%	1%[g]
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[705][CF]	September 16–22, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	46%	8%[g]
RMG Research[706][F]	September 18–20, 2024	783 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	5%[eg]
				49%[e]	49%	3%[eh]
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[707]	September 16–19, 2024	450 (RV)	± 6.0%	48%	48%	4%[ei]
Emerson College[708]	September 15–18, 2024	880 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	48%	5%[h]
				50%[e]	49%	1%[h]
MassINC Polling Group[709][CM]	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	47%	1%
Morning Consult[135]	September 9−18, 2024	1,756 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	47%	4%
Marist College[710]	September 12−17, 2024	1,663 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%[ej]
		1,476 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	49%	2%[j]
Washington Post[711]	September 12−16, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	47%	5%[eh]
		1,003 (LV)		48%	48%	4%[eh]
Quinnipiac University[336]	September 12−16, 2024	1,331 (LV)	± 2.7%	51%	46%	2%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[712]	September 11−16, 2024	1,082 (RV)	± 3.8%	50%	46%	4%
		1,082 (LV)		50%	46%	4%
Suffolk University/USA Today[713]	September 11−16, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	46%	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[714]	September 14−15, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	50%	2%[g]
	September 10, 2024	The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
Morning Consult[135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,910 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R)[715]	September 4–6, 2024	889 (LV)	± 3.3%	46%	48%	6%
CBS News/YouGov[716]	September 3–6, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	50%	–
Patriot Polling[717]	September 1–3, 2024	857 (RV)	–	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[718]	August 28–30, 2024	1,082 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	47%	8%[l]
Wick Insights[719][CN]	August 27–29, 2024	1,607 (LV)	–	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College[720]	August 25–28, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	48%	48%	4%[h]
				49%[e]	49%	1%[h]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[721]	August 23–26, 2024	803 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	47%	2%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	1%
SoCal Strategies (R)[722][B]	August 23, 2024	713 (LV)	–	47%	48%	5%
		800 (RV)		47%	47%	6%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[723][BB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.1%	43%	43%	14%[ek]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	47%	6%[el]
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote[724]	August 5–22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Fabrizio Ward (R)[725][BC]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	47%	7%
Spry Strategies (R)[81][O]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[726]	August 18–19, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	47%	7%[l]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[649][P]	August 13–17, 2024	1,312 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	47%	7%
Focaldata[601]	August 6–16, 2024	719 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	50%	–
Cygnal (R)[727]	August 14–15, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	47%	5%
Emerson College[728][BQ]	August 13–14, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
				49%[e]	51%	–
Quinnipiac University[729]	August 8–12, 2024	1,738 (LV)	± 2.4%	50%	47%	3%
The Bullfinch Group[730][AE]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	45%	6%
New York Times/Siena College[488]	August 6–9, 2024	693 (RV)	± 4.2%	49%	46%	5%
		693 (LV)		50%	46%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[731]	August 6–8, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	46%	10%
Navigator Research (D)[732]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	48%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[733]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	48%	3%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[734][CO]	July 29 – August 1, 2024	600 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[735][Q]	July 29–30, 2024	627 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	48%	5%
GQR Research (D)[736]	July 26–30, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	46%	4%[em]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[737][R]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	45%	7%
Quantus Insights (R)[738]	July 27–28, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	48%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[739]	July 24–28, 2024	804 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	50%	4%
The Bullfinch Group[740][CK]	July 23–25, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	5%
Fox News[741]	July 22–24, 2024	1,034 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College[742]	July 22–23, 2024	850 (RV)	± 3.3%	46%	48%	6%
				49%[e]	51%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
North Star Opinion Research (R)[743][CE]	July 20–23, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	9%
SoCal Strategies (R)[744][AH]	July 20–21, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	50%	4%
	July 19, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R)[745]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	40%	47%	13%
	July 15, 2024	Republican National Convention begins
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[746][Q]	July 11–12, 2024	537 (RV)	–	45%	51%	4%
New York Times/Siena College[747]	July 9–11, 2024	872 (RV)	± 3.7%	46%	48%	6%
		872 (LV)		47%	48%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[748]	May 7–13, 2024	812 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	50%	7%
Emerson College[749]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	49%	11%
New York Times/Siena College[750]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.6%	44%	47%	9%
		600 (LV)		44%	48%	8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [q]	Margin
Race to the WH	through October 28, 2024	November 2, 2024	48.0%	47.5%	1.0%	—	0.6%	2.9%	Harris +0.5%
270toWin	October 17 – 28, 2024	November 2, 2024	47.9%	47.9%	0.8%	—	0.7%	2.7%	Tie
Average			47.95%	47.7%	0.9%	—	0.65%	2.8%	Harris +0.25%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
HarrisX[20]	November 3–5, 2024	2,333 (RV)	± 2.3%	48%	45%	1%	1%	–	5%
				50%[e]	47%	2%	1%	–	–
		2,103 (LV)		50%	46%	1%	0%	–	3%
				51.0%[e]	47.5%	1.0%	0.5%	–	–
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	1,840 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	49%	–	1%	0%	2%
Survation[751]	November 1–4, 2024	941 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	47%	–	1%	1%	2%
		915 (LV)		50.6%	47.8%	–	0.9%	0.7%	–
AtlasIntel[26]	November 1–2, 2024	2,049 (LV)	± 2.0%	47%	49%	–	1%	1%	2%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[294]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	1,527 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	47%	–	1%	1%	5%
		1,527 (LV)		47%	47%	–	1%	0%	5%
Focaldata[752]	October 3 – November 1, 2024	2,373 (LV)	–	50%	48%	–	1%	1%	–
		2,119 (RV)	± 2.0%	51%	47%	–	1%	1%	–
		2,373 (A)	–	49%	47%	–	1%	2%	1%
AtlasIntel[31]	October 30–31, 2024	1,738 (LV)	± 2.0%	47%	49%	–	1%	1%	2%
Data for Progress (D)[753]	October 25–31, 2024	908 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	–	1%	0%	2%
YouGov[33][C]	October 25–31, 2024	982 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	46%	0%	1%	–	5%
		956 (LV)		49%	46%	0%	0%	–	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[754]	October 28–31, 2024	1,596 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	0%	1%	3%
Suffolk University/USA Today[755]	October 27–30, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	49%	–	0%	1%	1%
Echelon Insights[301]	October 27–30, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.5%	46%	51%	–	1%	0%	2%
Washington Post[756]	October 26–30, 2024	1,204 (RV)	± 3.1%	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%[eh]
		1,204 (LV)		48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel[36]	October 25–29, 2024	1,299 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	–	1%	1%	2%
Quinnipiac University[671]	October 24–28, 2024	2,186 (LV)	± 2.1%	46%	47%	–	2%	1%	4%
CNN/SSRS[757]	October 23–28, 2024	819 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	48%	–	1%	1%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[758]	October 25–27, 2024	1,116 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	0%	1%	3%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[487][CE]	October 22–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[759]	October 16–23, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[760]	October 20–22, 2024	1,586 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	1%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[44]	October 16–20, 2024	866 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	–	0%	2%	2%
		812 (LV)		50%	48%	–	0%	1%	1%
Franklin & Marshall College[680]	October 9–20, 2024	890 (RV)	± 4.3%	49%	45%	–	2%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[761]	October 16–18, 2024	1,256 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	0%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel[46]	October 12–17, 2024	2,048 (LV)	± 2.0%	47%	50%	–	2%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[762]	October 12–14, 2024	1,649 (LV)	–	48%	48%	–	0%	1%	3%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[50]	October 7–10, 2024	857 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	–	2%	1%	3%
		857 (LV)		49%	45%	–	1%	0%	5%
American Pulse Research & Polling[686]	October 2–10, 2024	1,193 (LV)	–	48%	49%	–	2%	0%	1%[g]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[763]	October 8–9, 2024	707 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	0%	1%	5%
TIPP Insights[687][CE]	October 7–9, 2024	1,079 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	45%	1%	1%	–	4%
		803 (LV)		48%	49%	1%	0%	–	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[764]	October 2–9, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	–	1%	0%	8%
J.L. Partners[765][CP]	October 5–8, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Quinnipiac University[326]	October 3–7, 2024	1,412 (LV)	± 2.6%	49%	46%	–	1%	1%	3%
Hunt Research[692][CH]	October 2–7, 2024	1,037 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[766]	September 27 – October 2, 2024	5,686 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	1%	4%
The Bullfinch Group[697][CK]	September 26–29, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	–	1%	0%	3%
AtlasIntel[64]	September 20–25, 2024	1,775 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	51%	–	0%	0%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[66]	September 19–25, 2024	993 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	44%	–	0%	4%	2%
		924 (LV)		51%	45%	–	0%	3%	1%
Fox News[701]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%
		775 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	–	2%	2%	1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[702][AG]	September 17–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	1%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[767]	September 16–19, 2024	1,086 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[768]	September 11–19, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	1%	4%
MassINC Polling Group[709][CM]	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	46%	−	1%	0%	3%
Quinnipiac University[336]	September 12−16, 2024	1,331 (LV)	± 2.7%	51%	45%	−	1%	0%	3%
Franklin & Marshall College[769]	September 4–15, 2024	890 (RV)	± 4.1%	49%	46%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[770]	September 6–9, 2024	801 (LV)	–	45%	45%	–	0%	1%	9%
YouGov[771][C]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	45%	0%	1%	–	8%[g]
Wick Insights[719][CN]	August 27–29, 2024	1,607 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
CNN/SSRS[772]	August 23–29, 2024	789 (LV)	± 4.7%	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[773]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	46%	45%	–	1%	0%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[721]	August 23–26, 2024	803 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	46%	–	1%	1%	1%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	45%	–	2%	1%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[65]	September 19–25, 2024	474 (LV)	–	49%	47%	1%	3%
Remington Research Group (R)[774][BE]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	1%	4%
Washington Post[711]	September 12−16, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	47%	1%	4%[eh]
		1,003 (LV)		48%	47%	1%	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[283][CQ]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.9%	56%	43%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[775]	September 12–16, 2024	683 (LV)	± 3.7%	58%	38%	–	2%	0%	2%[en]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
MassINC Polling Group[283][CQ]	September 12–18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.9%	53%	40%	2%	0%	1%	–	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
University of Rhode Island/YouGov[776]	August 15 – September 8, 2024	500 (A)	± 6.0%	53%	27%	9%	11%[eo]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[777]	October 5–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58.5%	41.5%	–
ActiVote[778]	September 9 – October 17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
Winthrop University[779]	September 21–29, 2024	1,068 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	42%	6%[ep]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
The Citadel[780]	October 17–25, 2024	1,241 (RV)	± 3.6%	53%	41%	0%	0%	0%	6%
		1,136 (LV)		54%	42%	0%	0%	0%	4%
East Carolina University[781]	October 18–22, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.0%	55%	42%	–	–	1%	2%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College[782]	October 19–22, 2024	825 (LV)	± 3.3%	62%	35%	3%[n]
				62%[e]	37%	1%[h]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[783]	October 5−28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	62%	38%	–
ActiVote[784]	September 24 – October 16, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	62%	38%	–
ActiVote[785]	July 26 – August 29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63%	37%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Targoz Market Research[786][CR]	September 27 – October 8, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	54%	35%	5%	–	1%	1%	4%
		971 (LV)		56%	35%	5%	–	0%	1%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [eq]	Margin
270ToWin	October 18 – November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.4%	51.8%	3.8%	Trump +7.4%
538	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	43.8%	51.7%	4.5%	Trump +7.9%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.3%	51.4%	4.3%	Trump +7.1%
The Hill/DDHQ	through October 29, 2024	November 3, 2024	44.2%	51.8%	4.0%	Trump +7.6%
Average			44.2%	51.7%	4.1%	Trump +7.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,434 (LV)	± 2.0%	55%	44%	1%
Morning Consult[135]	October 22−31, 2024	2,120 (LV)	± 2.0%	52%	45%	3%
ActiVote[787]	October 21−27, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	55%	45%	–
New York Times/Siena College[440]	October 23−26, 2024	1,180 (RV)	± 3.3%	52%	41%	7%
		1,180 (LV)		52%	42%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[788][D]	October 24–25, 2024	1,002 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	44%	6%[g]
CES/YouGov[789]	October 1–25, 2024	6,526 (A)	–	51%	47%	2%
		6,473 (LV)		51%	47%	2%
Emerson College[790]	October 18−21, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	53%	46%	1%[h]
				53%[e]	46%	1%[h]
Rose Institute/YouGov[791]	October 7–17, 2024	1,108 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	44%	7%[s]
		1,108 (RV)		50%[e]	45%	5%
		1,075 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
ActiVote[792]	September 26 − October 16, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–
Morning Consult[135]	October 6−15, 2024	2,048 (LV)	± 2.0%	50%	46%	4%
Marist College[793]	October 3–7, 2024	1,365 (RV)	± 3.3%	52%	46%	2%[er]
		1,186 (LV)	± 3.6%	53%	46%	1%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[794]	October 2–6, 2024	811 (RV)	± 3.4%	50%	45%	5%[aj]
		775 (LV)		50%	45%	5%[aj]
New York Times/Siena College[795]	September 29 – October 6, 2024	617 (LV)	± 5.0%	50%	44%	6%
RMG Research[796][F]	September 25–27, 2024	779 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	45%	3%[es]
				53%[e]	46%	1%
Public Policy Polling (D)[161][AD]	September 25–26, 2024	759 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	46%	3%
Emerson College[797]	September 22−24, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	51%	46%	3%[h]
				52%[e]	47%	1%[h]
ActiVote[798]	September 7−24, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Morning Consult[135]	September 9−18, 2024	2,716 (LV)	± 2.0%	50%	46%	4%
Morning Consult[135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	2,940 (LV)	± 2.0%	52%	43%	5%
Emerson College[799]	September 3–5, 2024	845 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	46%	4%
				51%[e]	48%	1%[et]
YouGov[800][CS]	August 23–31, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	49%	44%	7%[eu]
ActiVote[801]	August 14–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54.5%	45.5%	–
Quantus Insights (R)[802]	August 29–30, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	49%	42%	9%[ev]
				52%	44%	4%[ew]
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D)[803][AD]	August 21–22, 2024	725 (RV)	± 3.6%	49%	44%	6%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
ActiVote[804]	July 31 – August 13, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	47%	–
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
YouGov[805][CT]	January 11–24, 2024	1,500 (RV)	± 2.5%	52%	39%	9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[806]	May 8–17, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 2.9%	46%	39%	15%[ex]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,434 (LV)	± 2.0%	54%	44%	−	1%	0%	1%
Cygnal (R)[807]	October 26−28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	43%	−	2%	2%	2%
New York Times/Siena College[440]	October 23−26, 2024	1,180 (RV)	± 3.3%	50%	40%	−	2%	2%	6%
		1,180 (LV)		51%	40%	−	1%	1%	7%
UT Tyler[808]	October 14–21, 2024	1,129 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	45%	–	1%	2%	1%
		956 (LV)		51%	46%	–	1%	1%	1%
YouGov[809][CS]	October 2–10, 2024	1,091 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	46%	–	2%	1%	–
CWS Research (R)[810][CU]	October 1–4, 2024	533 (LV)	± 4.2%	48%	43%	–	2%	1%	6%
University of Houston[811]	September 26 – October 10, 2024	1,329 (LV)	± 2.7%	51%	46%	–	1%	0%	2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[161][AD]	September 25–26, 2024	759 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	44%	0%	1%	–	6%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[812]	September 13–18, 2024	1,200 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	44%	–	1%	1%	4%
CWS Research (R)[813][CV]	September 4–9, 2024	504 (LV)	± 4.4%	51%	41%	–	0%	2%	6%
Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners (D)[814]	August 24–29, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	43%	–	2%	2%	2%
YouGov[800][CS]	August 23–31, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	49%	44%	–	2%	0%	5%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[815]	October 7–30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	60%	40%	–
Noble Predictive Insights[816]	October 2–7, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	52%	39%	9%
		539 (LV)	± 4.2%	54%	38%	8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[817][CW]	September 27–28, 2024	612 (LV)	± 4.0%	54%	39%	7%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights[818]	October 25–28, 2024	695 (LV)	± 3.7%	54%	34%	0%	0%	1%	11%[ey]
Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics[819]	October 15–19, 2024	813 (RV)	± 3.4%	61%	30%	2%	1%	–	6%
				63%[e]	31%	4%	2%	–	–
Noble Predictive Insights[816]	October 2–7, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	37%	2%	1%	1%	8%[cx]
		539 (LV)	± 4.2%	54%	36%	2%	0%	2%	6%[cx]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire[820]	August 15–19, 2024	924 (LV)	± 3.2%	70%	29%	1%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[821]	October 29 – November 2, 2024	1,167 (LV)	± 2.9%	63%	31%	2%	0%	–	0%	4%[ez]
University of New Hampshire[820]	August 15–19, 2024	924 (LV)	± 3.2%	67%	27%	3%	0%	–	0%	3%[fa]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [fb]	Margin
270ToWin	October 2 - November 1, 2024	November 4, 2024	49.8%	41.0%	9.2%	Harris +8.8%
538	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	49.9%	43.7%	6.4%	Harris +6.2%
Silver Bulletin	through November 3, 2024	November 3, 2024	49.5%	43.2%	7.3%	Harris +6.3%
The Hill/DDHQ	through November 4, 2024	November 4, 2024	50.1%	45.1%	4.8%	Harris +5.0%
Average			49.8%	43.3%	6.9%	Harris +6.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[21]	November 3–4, 2024	2,202 (LV)	± 2.0%	51%	46%	3%
Research Co.[822]	November 2–3, 2024	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	51%	45%	4%
ActiVote[823]	October 2–28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Rasmussen Reports (R)[824][D]	October 24–25, 2024	1,014 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	6%[bi]
CES/YouGov[825]	October 1–25, 2024	2,027 (A)	–	53%	44%	3%
		2,015 (LV)		53%	44%	3%
Quantus Insights (R)[826][AY]	October 22−24, 2024	725 (LV)	± 3.6%	49%	48%	3%
Braun Research[827][CX]	October 19−23, 2024	1,004 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	42%	9%
		1,004 (LV)		49%	43%	8%
Christopher Newport University[828]	September 28 − October 4, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	41%	7%[k]
Emerson College[829][CY]	September 22−24, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	52%	44%	4%[h]
				53%[e]	46%	1%[h]
Morning Consult[135]	September 9−18, 2024	899 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	44%	5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[830][D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,144 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
ActiVote[831]	August 19 – September 17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	55%	45%	–
Research America Inc.[832][CZ]	September 3−9, 2024	1,000 (A)	± 3.1%	45%	45%	10%[fc]
		756 (LV)	± 4.1%	48%	46%	6%[fd]
Washington Post/Schar School[833]	September 4–8, 2024	1,005 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	43%	6%[eh]
		1,005 (LV)		51%	43%	6%[eh]
Morning Consult[135]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	873 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	42%	6%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Quantus Insights (R)[834][AY]	August 20–22, 2024	629 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	9%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Roanoke College[835]	August 12–16, 2024	691 (LV)	± 4.5%	47%	44%	10%[fe]
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention