In the following article we will talk about 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, a topic that has generated interest and debate in various areas. 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota is a topic that has captured the attention of many people due to its relevance and impact on society. Throughout this article we will explore different aspects related to 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, from its origin and evolution to its possible implications in the future. It is important to understand the importance of 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota and analyze it from various perspectives to understand its scope and relevance. Through this article, we will seek to provide a comprehensive view on 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota and encourage reflection and debate around this topic.
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All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Minnesota |
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with an open gubernatorial election, a U.S. Senate election, a special U.S. Senate election, State House elections, and other elections.
In the 2018 elections, Democrats gained the 2nd and 3rd districts from Republican incumbents, and the Republicans gained the 1st and 8th districts from Democrats running for higher office, leaving party representation in Minnesota's House delegation unchanged at five members from the DFL and three members from the GOP.
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:[1]
District | DFL | Republican | Others | Total | Result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
District 1 | 144,885 | 49.67% | 146,200 | 50.13% | 576 | 0.20% | 291,661 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
District 2 | 177,958 | 52.65% | 159,344 | 47.15% | 666 | 0.20% | 337,968 | 100.0% | DFL gain |
District 3 | 202,404 | 55.61% | 160,839 | 44.19% | 706 | 0.20% | 363,949 | 100.0% | DFL gain |
District 4 | 216,865 | 65.99% | 97,747 | 29.75% | 14,002 | 4.26% | 328,614 | 100.0% | DFL hold |
District 5 | 267,703 | 77.97% | 74,440 | 21.68% | 1,215 | 0.35% | 343,358 | 100.0% | DFL hold |
District 6 | 122,332 | 38.75% | 192,931 | 61.11% | 463 | 0.15% | 315,726 | 100.0% | Republican hold |
District 7 | 146,672 | 52.10% | 134,668 | 47.84% | 169 | 0.06% | 281,509 | 100.0% | DFL hold |
District 8 | 141,950 | 45.18% | 159,364 | 50.72% | 12,897 | 4.10% | 314,211 | 100.0% | Republican gain |
Total | 1,420,769 | 55.13% | 1,125,533 | 43.68% | 30,694 | 1.19% | 2,576,996 | 100.0% |
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Minnesota's 1st Congressional District extends across southern Minnesota, from the border with South Dakota to the border with Wisconsin and the state's entire border with Iowa.
Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, did not run for re-election, instead opting to run for governor. He was re-elected with 50% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+5.
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Dan Feehan | 39,167 | 83.1 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Colin Minehart | 7,971 | 16.9 | |
Total votes | 47,138 | 100.0 |
Minnesota's 1st congressional district was listed as one of the NRCC's initial targets in 2018.[13]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 25,418 | 60.1 | |
Republican | Carla Nelson | 13,589 | 32.2 | |
Republican | Steve Williams | 2,145 | 5.1 | |
Republican | Andrew Candler | 1,106 | 2.6 | |
Total votes | 42,258 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[29] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Lean D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[31] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[32] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538[33] | Tossup | November 7, 2018 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Dan Feehan | Jim Hagedorn | |||||
1 | Oct. 12, 2018 | Minnesota Public Radio | Mike Mulcahy | [34] | P | P |
2 | Oct. 17, 2018 | Greater Mankato Growth South Central College The Free Press |
Patrick Baker Steve Jameson |
[35] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dan Feehan (D) |
Jim Hagedorn (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[36] | October 16–20, 2018 | 586 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
Harper Polling (R-Hagedorn)[37] | August 23–26, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 33% | 47% | 6% | 14% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jim Hagedorn | 146,199 | 50.1 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Dan Feehan | 144,884 | 49.7 | |
Write-in | 575 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 291,658 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic (DFL) |
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![]() Precinct results Craig: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Lewis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Tie: 40–50% | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Jason Lewis, who had represented the district since 2017, ran for re-election. He was elected with 47% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+2.
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[29] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[31] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[32] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538[33] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Jason Lewis | Angie Craig | |||||
1 | Oct. 19, 2018 | Twin Cities Public Television | Eric Eskola Cathy Wurzer |
[61] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jason Lewis (R) |
Angie Craig (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D)[62] | October 9–14, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 43% | 52% | 15% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[63] | September 29 – October 2, 2018 | 487 | ± 5.0% | 39% | 51% | 9% |
WPA Intelligence (R-Lewis)[64] | September 29 – October 1, 2018 | 412 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 43% | 9% |
SurveyUSA[65] | September 17–23, 2018 | 569 | ± 4.5% | 45% | 48% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[66] | September 17–18, 2018 | 531 | – | 45% | 48% | 7% |
WPA Intelligence (R-Lewis)[67] | August 18–21, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[68] | October 4–7, 2017 | 732 | ± 3.6% | 43% | 42% | 15% |
Craig defeated Lewis in a rematch of their 2016 race.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Angie Craig | 177,954 | 52.7 | |
Republican | Jason Lewis (incumbent) | 159,343 | 47.1 | |
Write-in | 668 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 337,965 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) gain from Republican |
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![]() Precinct results Phillips: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Paulsen: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+1.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Erik Paulsen (incumbent) | 39,080 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 39,080 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Dean Phillips | 56,697 | 81.6 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Cole Young | 12,784 | 18.4 | |
Total votes | 69,481 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[29] | Tilt D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[31] | Lean D (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[32] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
538[33] | Likely D (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Erik Paulsen | Dean Phillips | |||||
1 | Oct. 5, 2018 | KNOW-FM | Mike Mulcahy | [69] | P | P |
2 | Oct. 19, 2018 | Twin Cities Public Television | Eric Eskola Cathy Wurzer |
[70] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Erik Paulsen (R) |
Dean Phillips (D) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SurveyUSA[71] | September 24–29, 2018 | 607 | ± 4.3% | 44% | 49% | 8% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[72] | September 17–18, 2018 | 538 | – | 39% | 52% | 9% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[73] | September 7–9, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.6% | 42% | 51% | 7% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[74] | February 12–13, 2018 | 664 | ± 3.8% | 43% | 46% | 11% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[75] | November 9–10, 2017 | 542 | ± 4.2% | 42% | 46% | 12% |
Phillips defeated Paulsen.[76]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Dean Phillips | 202,402 | 55.6 | |
Republican | Erik Paulsen (incumbent) | 160,839 | 44.2 | |
Write-in | 707 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 363,948 | 100 | ||
Democratic (DFL) gain from Republican |
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![]() Precinct results McCollum: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Ryan: 40–50% 50–60% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. She was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+14.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 86,843 | 91.0 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Muad Hassan | 5,398 | 5.7 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Reid Rossell | 3,156 | 3.3 | |
Total votes | 95,397 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Greg Ryan | 23,021 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 23,021 | 100.0 |
McCollum faced Republican businessman Greg Ryan and Susan Pendergast Sindt of the Legal Marijuana Now Party in the general election.[77]
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[31] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[32] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538[33] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Betty McCollum (incumbent) | 216,866 | 66.0 | |
Republican | Greg Ryan | 97,746 | 29.7 | |
Legal Marijuana Now | Susan Pendergast Sindt | 13,777 | 4.2 | |
Write-in | 226 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 328,615 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
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![]() Precinct results Omar: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, decided to not run for re-election, instead seeking the Democratic nomination for the open Attorney General race. He was re-elected with 69% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+26.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Ilhan Omar | 65,238 | 48.2 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Margaret Anderson Kelliher | 41,156 | 30.4 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Patricia Torres Ray | 17,629 | 13.0 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Jamal Abdulahi | 4,984 | 3.7 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Bobby Joe Champion | 3,831 | 2.8 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Frank Drake | 2,480 | 1.8 | |
Total votes | 135,318 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Jennifer Zielinski | 8,680 | 56.5 | |
Republican | Christopher Chamberlin | 4,999 | 32.5 | |
Republican | Bob Carney | 1,688 | 11.0 | |
Total votes | 15,367 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[31] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[32] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
538[33] | Safe D | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Ilhan Omar | 267,703 | 78.0 | |
Republican | Jennifer Zielinski | 74,440 | 21.7 | |
Write-in | 1,215 | 0.3 | ||
Total votes | 343,358 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
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![]() Precinct results Emmer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Todd: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+12 despite narrowly voting for incumbent Democratic senator Amy Klobuchar on the same ballot.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 34,251 | 76.6 | |
Republican | A.J. Kern | 7,897 | 17.7 | |
Republican | Patrick Munro | 2,575 | 5.8 | |
Total votes | 44,723 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic (DFL) | Ian Todd | 33,853 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 33,853 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[29] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[31] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[32] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
538[33] | Safe R | November 7, 2018 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Tom Emmer (incumbent) | 192,936 | 61.1 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Ian Todd | 122,330 | 38.7 | |
Write-in | 463 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 315,729 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
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![]() County results Peterson: 50–60% 60–70% Hughes: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
![]() Precinct results Peterson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Hughes: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 52% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+12.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 39,961 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 39,961 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Dave Hughes | 30,786 | 72.6 | |
Republican | Matt Prosch | 11,618 | 27.4 | |
Total votes | 42,404 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
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The Cook Political Report[28] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[29] | Safe D | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[31] | Tossup | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[32] | Likely D | November 5, 2018 |
538[33] | Likely D | November 7, 2018 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Collin Peterson | Dave Hughes | |||||
1 | Oct. 19, 2018 | Prairie Public Television | Matt Olien | [105] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Collin Peterson (D) |
Dave Hughes (R) |
Undecided |
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ALG Research (D-Peterson)[106] | September 5–10, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 53% | 35% | – |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic (DFL) | Collin Peterson (incumbent) | 146,665 | 52.1 | |
Republican | Dave Hughes | 134,668 | 47.8 | |
Write-in | 169 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 281,502 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic (DFL) hold |
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![]() Precinct results Stauber: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Radinovich: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Tie: 40–50% 50% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan, who had represented the district since 2013 and previously represented Minnesota's 6th district from 1975 to 1981, decided to run for lieutenant governor of Minnesota instead of running for re-election. He was re-elected with 50% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+4.[107]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Democratic (DFL) | Joe Radinovich | 30,391 | 44.2 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Michelle Lee | 18,940 | 27.5 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Jason Metsa | 9,009 | 13.1 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Kirsten Kennedy | 8,064 | 11.7 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Soren Sorensen | 2,396 | 3.5 | |
Total votes | 68,800 | 100.0 |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Pete Stauber | 44,814 | 89.9 | |
Republican | Harry Welty | 5,021 | 10.1 | |
Total votes | 49,835 | 100.0 |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[28] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Inside Elections[29] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
RCP[31] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
Daily Kos[32] | Lean R (flip) | November 5, 2018 |
538[33] | Likely R (flip) | November 7, 2018 |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Joe Radinovich | Pete Stauber | |||||
1 | Oct. 26, 2018 | Minnesota Public Radio | Mike Mulcahy | [135] | P | P |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Joe Radinovich (D) |
Pete Stauber (R) |
Ray Sandman (I) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NYT Upshot/Siena College[136] | October 11–14, 2018 | 507 | ± 4.6% | 34% | 49% | 4% | 13% |
Victoria Research (D-Radinovich)[137] | September 27–30, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 45% | 44% | – | 11% |
NYT Upshot/Siena College[138] | September 6–9, 2018 | 504 | ± 4.6% | 44% | 43% | – | 13% |
Stauber defeated Radinovich in the general election.[139]
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
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Republican | Pete Stauber | 159,364 | 50.7 | |
Democratic (DFL) | Joe Radinovich | 141,948 | 45.2 | |
Independence | Ray "Skip" Sandman | 12,741 | 4.0 | |
Write-in | 156 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 314,209 | 100.0 | ||
Republican gain from Democratic (DFL) |
The Iron Range Building and Construction Trades join our labor brothers and sisters at United Steelworkers (USW), United Food and Commercial Workers (UFCW) Local 1189, and International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) Local 294, in supporting a candidate who supports union organizing, members, and their families.
Official campaign websites of District 1 candidates
Official campaign websites of District 2 candidates
Official campaign websites of District 3 candidates
Official campaign websites of District 4 candidates
Official campaign websites of District 5 candidates
Official campaign websites of District 6 candidates
Official campaign websites of District 7 candidates
Official campaign websites of District 8 candidates