2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota

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For related races, see 2018 United States Senate elections. For the other Senate election in Minnesota held in parallel, see 2018 United States Senate special election in Minnesota.
2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota
← 2012 November 6, 2018 2024 →
Turnout63.89%
 
Nominee Amy Klobuchar Jim Newberger
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Popular vote 1,566,174 940,437
Percentage 60.31% 36.21%
Klobuchar:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Newberger:      20–30%      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:       No Vote:      
U.S. senator before election

Amy Klobuchar
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Senator

Amy Klobuchar
Democratic (DFL)

Elections in Minnesota
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This article is part of a series about
Amy Klobuchar
U.S. Senator from Minnesota
Presidential campaign

United States Senate

The 2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a United States Senator from Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar was reelected in a landslide, defeating Republican state House of Representatives member Jim Newberger. This election was held alongside a special election for Minnesota's other Senate seat, which was held by Al Franken until he resigned in January 2018. U.S. House elections, a gubernatorial election, State House elections, and other elections were also held.

The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 14, 2018.[1] This is the last time that a Democratic candidate won a majority of Minnesota's counties in a statewide election.

Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Steve Carlson[3]
  • Stephen A. Emery[3]
  • David R. Groves[3]
  • Leonard J. Richards[3]

Endorsements

Amy Klobuchar

Organizations

Results

Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) 557,306 95.70%
Democratic (DFL) Steve Carlson 9,934 1.71%
Democratic (DFL) Stephen Emery 7,047 1.21%
Democratic (DFL) David Groves 4,511 0.77%
Democratic (DFL) Leonard Richards 3,552 0.61%
Total votes 582,350 100%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

  • Merrill Anderson,[3] Past Candidate (Mayor of Minneapolis), Past Candidate (Governor of Minnesota)
  • Rae Hart Anderson[3]
  • Rocky De La Fuente, 2016 Reform Party Presidential Nominee and perennial candidate[3]

Declined

Endorsements

Jim Newberger

State legislators

Individuals

Organizations

  • Chinese American Alliance Action[19]

Newspapers

Results

county
Results by county
Map legend
  •   Newberger—80–90%
  •   Newberger—70–80%
  •   Newberger—60–70%
  •   Newberger—50–60%
congressional district
Results by congressional district
Map legend
  •   Newberger—70–80%
  •   Newberger—60–70%
Republican Party primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Newberger 201,531 69.50%
Republican Merrill Anderson 45,492 15.69%
Republican Rae Hart Anderson 25,883 8.93%
Republican Roque "Rocky" de la Fuente 17,051 5.88%
Total votes 289,957 100%

Minor parties and independents

Candidates

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Safe D October 26, 2018
Inside Elections[24] Safe D November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] Safe D November 5, 2018
Fox News[26] Likely D July 9, 2018
CNN[27] Safe D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[28] Safe D November 5, 2018

Debates

On August 24, MPR News hosted a debate between Amy Klobuchar and Jim Newberger at the Minnesota State Fair.[29]

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018
Candidate (party) Total receipts Total disbursements Cash on hand
Amy Klobuchar (DFL) $10,139,499 $7,700,359 $5,086,325
Jim Newberger (R) $210,846 $191,815 $19,030
Source: Federal Election Commission[30]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Amy
Klobuchar (DFL) 		Jim
Newberger (R) 		Paula
Overby (G) 		Dennis
Schuller (LMN) 		Other Undecided
Change Research[31] November 2–4, 2018 953 – 55% 40% 2% 3% – –
Research Co.[32] November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 53% 33% – – 2% 12%
SurveyUSA[33] October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 5.3% 57% 34% – – 1% 7%
St. Cloud State University[34] October 15–30, 2018 420 – 54% 28% – – –
Mason-Dixon[35] October 15–17, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 56% 33% 2% 2% – 8%
Change Research[36] October 12–13, 2018 1,413 – 50% 41% 2% 5% – 2%
Marist College[37] September 30 – October 4, 2018 637 LV ± 4.9% 60% 32% 4% – <1% 4%
63% 33% – – <1% 4%
860 RV ± 4.2% 59% 32% 5% – <1% 5%
62% 33% – – <1% 5%
Mason-Dixon[38] September 10–12, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 60% 30% 1% 3% – 6%
SurveyUSA[39] September 6–8, 2018 574 ± 4.9% 53% 38% – – 2% 8%
Suffolk University[40] August 17–20, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 34% 1% 1% – 11%
Emerson College[41] August 8–11, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 50% 26% – – – 24%
BK Strategies[42] June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 57% 37% – – – 6%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Democrat 		Generic
Republican 		Undecided
BK Strategies (R)[43] June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 49% 42% 9%

Results

Klobuchar won the election by a margin of 24.10%. She carried a clear majority of the state's 87 counties, won every congressional district, and had the biggest statewide margin of any statewide candidate in Minnesota in 2018. Klobuchar ran up huge margins in the state's population centers and trounced Newberger in the counties encompassing the Minneapolis-St. Paul area. As in her 2012 victory, she also won many rural counties. Klobuchar was sworn in for a third term on January 3, 2019.

United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2018[44]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic (DFL) Amy Klobuchar (incumbent) 1,566,174 60.31% −4.92%
Republican Jim Newberger 940,437 36.21% +5.68%
Legal Marijuana Now Dennis Schuller 66,236 2.55% N/A
Green Paula Overby 23,101 0.89% N/A
Write-in 931 0.04% -0.05%
Total votes 2,596,879 100.00% N/A
Democratic (DFL) hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Klobuchar won all 8 congressional districts, including three that elected Republicans.[45]

District Klobuchar Newberger Representative
1st 54% 42% Tim Walz (115th Congress)
Jim Hagedorn (116th Congress)
2nd 59% 38% Jason Lewis (115th Congress)
Angie Craig (116th Congress)
3rd 63% 35% Erik Paulsen (115th Congress)
Dean Phillips (116th Congress)
4th 71% 25% Betty McCollum
5th 81% 15% Keith Ellison (115th Congress)
Ilhan Omar (116th Congress)
6th 48.3% 48.2% Tom Emmer
7th 48.4% 48.3% Collin Peterson
8th 54% 43% Rick Nolan (115th Congress)
Pete Stauber (116th Congress)

Voter demographics

Edison Research exit poll
Demographic subgroup Klobuchar Newberger No
Answer 		% of
Voters
Gender
Men 54 45 1 46
Women 67 32 1 54
Age
18–24 years old 79 19 2 6
25–29 years old 60 39 1 5
30–39 years old 63 35 2 12
40–49 years old 57 42 1 13
50–64 years old 61 38 1 29
65 and older 60 39 1 35
Race
White 59 40 1 89
Black 86 12 2 5
Latino N/A N/A N/A 3
Asian N/A N/A N/A 2
Other N/A N/A N/A 2
Race by gender
White men 52 47 1 40
White women 65 34 1 49
Black men N/A N/A N/A 3
Black women N/A N/A N/A 2
Latino men N/A N/A N/A 1
Latino women N/A N/A N/A 1
Others N/A N/A N/A 4
Education
High school or less 59 40 1 17
Some college education 55 43 2 23
Associate degree 54 44 2 17
Bachelor's degree 66 34 N/A 26
Advanced degree 75 25 N/A 16
Education and race
White college graduates 68 31 1 38
White no college degree 53 46 1 51
Non-white college graduates 79 20 1 4
Non-white no college degree 82 17 1 7
Whites by education and gender
White women with college degrees 74 25 1 21
White women without college degrees 59 40 1 28
White men with college degrees 61 39 N/A 17
White men without college degrees 46 53 1 23
Non-whites 80 18 2 11
Income
Under $30,000 67 28 5 14
$30,000–49,999 63 35 2 20
$50,000–99,999 55 44 1 36
$100,000–199,999 64 36 N/A 23
Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 7
Party ID
Democrats 98 2 N/A 39
Republicans 18 81 1 32
Independents 62 36 2 29
Party by gender
Democratic men 96 4 N/A 14
Democratic women 99 1 N/A 25
Republican men 16 84 N/A 15
Republican women 20 78 2 17
Independent men 56 42 2 16
Independent women 69 29 2 13
Ideology
Liberals 96 3 1 27
Moderates 76 23 1 39
Conservatives 17 82 1 33
Marital status
Married 55 44 1 67
Unmarried 69 28 3 33
Gender by marital status
Married men 51 47 2 31
Married women 58 42 N/A 36
Unmarried men 59 38 3 15
Unmarried women 79 19 2 18
First-time midterm election voter
Yes 59 40 1 13
No 64 35 1 87
Most important issue facing the country
Health care 78 20 2 50
Immigration 29 70 1 22
Economy 37 62 1 18
Gun policy N/A N/A N/A 7
Area type
Urban 73 26 1 40
Suburban 58 41 1 32
Rural 49 49 2 28
Source: CNN[46]

See also

References

  1. ^ "United States Senate election in Minnesota, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
  2. ^ Sherry, Allison (December 25, 2016). "Klobuchar will run again for Senate, rules herself out for governor's race". Star Tribune. Retrieved December 26, 2016.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g "Candidate Filings". candidates.sos.state.mn.us. Retrieved June 8, 2018.
  4. ^ "Our Candidates - CWA Political". CWA Political. Archived from the original on April 3, 2018. Retrieved October 9, 2018.
  5. ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Nine Democratic Women Senators for Re-Election in 2018". EMILY's List. February 10, 2017. Retrieved February 13, 2017.
  6. ^ Tiffany Muller (July 6, 2017). "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Amy Klobuchar for Re-election". End Citizens United.
  7. ^ "Amy Klobuchar – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
  8. ^ "Endorsements - League of Conservation Voters".
  9. ^ NCPSSM. "Candidates We Endorse and Support". Retrieved December 18, 2018.
  10. ^ "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  11. ^ "Population Connection Action Fund Endorsements". Population Connection. Archived from the original on April 5, 2018. Retrieved October 27, 2018.
  12. ^ "Minnesota – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  13. ^ a b "Minnesota 2018 Primary Election Results". Minnesota Secretary of State. Archived from the original on February 12, 2019. Retrieved May 28, 2019.
  14. ^ Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (August 5, 2017). "Challenger emerges to run against U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar — GOP state Rep. Jim Newberger". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Retrieved August 5, 2017.
  15. ^ "GOP endorses Housley, Newberger for U.S. Senate". June 2, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
  16. ^ "Pawlenty won't run for Senate in Minnesota". Politico. January 16, 2018. Retrieved August 29, 2018.
  17. ^ [dead link‍]
  18. ^ Lindell, Mike (October 31, 2018). "My friend @NewbergerJim will be one of the best US Senators ever!pic.twitter.com/gZCkRCQ1nw". Retrieved December 18, 2018.
  19. ^ "CAA Endorsing James Newberger For US Senate". Jim Newberger for US Senate.
  20. ^ "Our View / Endorsement: Newberger already focused on Klobuchar". Duluth News Tribune. July 24, 2018.
  21. ^ McMullen, Maureen (November 11, 2017). "Transgender candidate announces U.S. Senate campaign in Minn., seeking Green Party endorsement". Duluth News Tribune. Retrieved January 25, 2018.
  22. ^ Golden, Erin (June 16, 2018). "Legal pot advocates join Minnesota races for state, federal offices". Star Tribune. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  23. ^ "2018 Senate Race Ratings for October 26, 2018". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  24. ^ "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  25. ^ "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 7, 2017.
  26. ^ "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Fox News. Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  27. ^ "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  28. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved August 14, 2018.
  29. ^ Pugmire, Tim (August 22, 2018). "Sen. Amy Klobuchar and state Rep. Jim Newberger debate at the State Fair". Retrieved August 29, 2018.
  30. ^ "Campaign finance data". Retrieved October 31, 2018.
  31. ^ Change Research
  32. ^ Research Co.
  33. ^ SurveyUSA
  34. ^ St. Cloud State University
  35. ^ Mason-Dixon
  36. ^ Change Research
  37. ^ Marist College
  38. ^ Mason-Dixon
  39. ^ SurveyUSA
  40. ^ Suffolk University Archived 2018-12-08 at the Wayback Machine
  41. ^ Emerson College Archived 2018-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  42. ^ BK Strategies Archived 2018-06-29 at the Wayback Machine
  43. ^ BK Strategies (R) Archived 2018-06-29 at the Wayback Machine
  44. ^ "Minnesota Secretary Of State - 2018 General Election Results". www.sos.state.mn.us. Archived from the original on April 10, 2020. Retrieved December 18, 2018.
  45. ^ "Home - Election Results".
  46. ^ "Minnesota Senate election exit poll". CNN. Retrieved November 20, 2018.

Official campaign websites